This doesn’t look good. But the Capital Weather Gang is here to reassure us. Forecasts this far out are basically useless.
As our tropical weather specialist Brian McNoldy said earlier: “In the 5-7 day period and beyond, weather details become fairly unpredictable.” [...]
Colorado State University Tropical Meteorology Project has developed a tool that shows the historic probability of a named storm affecting the region around Tampa is 20 percent in any given season. The odds of a direct hit near Tampa are around 3 percent.
The latest CWG update: “[M]odels tend to suggest a Florida (or Gulf Coast) hit early next week … But this far out all options remain on the table including a track up the East Coast or even out to sea.”
If Issac does hit Tampa, at least there’s a plan.