CNN poll gives Obama six-point lead

September 10, 2012

A new CNN/ORC poll has President Obama leading Mitt Romney 52 percent to 46 percent among likely voters. That's a dramatic shift from the news organization's poll a week ago, which had the two candidates tied at 48 percent.

Obama generally struggles more in polls of likely voters than surveys of registered voters. In the last CNN/ORC poll, Republicans were more enthusiastic than Democrats about voting; now both parties are about equal in their enthusiasm. But independents lean towards Romney by 14 points. 

In a memo Monday morning, Romney pollster Neil Newhouse argued that surveys showing Obama leading Romney can be attributed to a convention bounce, a "sugar high" that will fade. Convention bounces are often short-lived; polling right after conventions is volatile. But Nate Silver has suggested that the shift towards Obama could last through the election. 

The CNN/ORC poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

Rachel Weiner covers local politics for The Washington Post.
Show Comments
Most Read Politics



Success! Check your inbox for details.

See all newsletters