Romney gains a bit in swing states

New NBC/Marist polls find Mitt Romney gaining on President Obama in Ohio and Virginia, though the shifts are all within the poll's margin of error. A CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac poll found Romney moving up in Wisconsin and Colorado. 

In Ohio, Obama leads 51 to 45 percent, a 2-point shift in Romney's favor since before the first presidential debate. In Virginia, Romney edges out Obama 48 percent to 47 percent, a 3-point boost for the Republican. The Florida race remains deadlocked at 48 percent for Obama to 47 percent for Romney; it was 47 to 46 percent before the debate.

In Wisconsin, according to the CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac survey, Obama's lead has shrunk from 6 points last month to 3. In Colorado, Romney edges Obama 48 percent to 47 percent, within the margin of error; last month those numbers were reversed.This poll found the Virginia race unchanged. 

In the Ohio poll Democrats had an 11-point advantage over Republicans, far more than the last NBC/Marist poll. The pollsters suggest that heavy early voting in Obama's favor was a factor.  

Both pollsters found that the vast majority of voters had made up their minds before the debate. But those who hadn't broke overwhelmingly for Romney. 


Rachel Weiner covers local politics for The Washington Post.
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