Angus King’s lead in Maine shrinks to single digits, Republican poll shows

October 2, 2012

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FIRST ON THE FIX: 

* Independent former governor Angus King's lead in the Maine Senate race has shrunk to a slight four-point advantage among likely voters over Republican nominee Charlie Summers, according to a GS Strategy Group poll conducted last week for the National Republican Senatorial Committee's independent expenditure arm. The poll shows King leading Summers 37 percent to 33.5 percent, with Democratic nominee Cynthia Dill running third at 17 percent. Twelve percent are undecided. In the previous poll, conducted in early September, King led Summers 44 percent to 33 percent, while Dill was at 11 percent. The NRSC has been hammering King on the airwaves in recent weeks, and the attack is having an effect. 

EARLIER ON THE FIX: 

Unlike 2008, Obama lacks big enthusiasm advantage

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DSCC has ‘not endorsed’ in Maine Senate race, Patty Murray says

The Massachusetts Senate race’s 2016 implications

Everything you need to know about the Pennsylvania voter ID fight

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What if the presidential debate is boring? It could happen.

WHAT YOU MIGHT HAVE MISSED: 

* Vice President Biden has apparently made another gaffe. Stumping in North Carolina, he charged that Mitt Romney would raise taxes on the middle class, and asked: "How they can justify ... raising taxes on the middle class that has been buried the last four years?" Romney promptly pounced on the remark, tweeting that he agreed "the middle class has been buried the last 4 years, which is why we need a change in November." Biden later corrected himself, saying: “The middle class was buried by the policies that Romney and Ryan have supported."

 * President Obama leads Romney 47 percent to 39 percent in a new Roanoke College poll of Virginia. Obama has a wide lead among women (51 percent to 34 percent), while he and Romney are running about even among men. Former Democratic National Committee chairman Tim Kaine leads former senator George Allen (R) 47 percent to 37 percent in the  survey. 

* A new Deseret News/KSL poll shows Republican challenger Mia Love holding a slight lead over Rep. Jim Matheson (D-Utah). Love leads Matheson 49 percent to 43 percent in the survey, after trailing by 15 points in June.

* The conservative super PAC American Crossroads has launched its largest ad buy yet: $12 million for a presidential spot airing in Colorado, Florida, Iowa, North Carolina, New Hampshire, Nevada, Ohio and Virginia and $4 million from sister Group Crossroads GPS for Senate ads in North Dakota, Virginia and Montana. The presidential ad hits Obama over the nation's unemployment rate. 

WHAT YOU SHOULDN'T MISS: 

* The Club For Growth is spending $500,000 in the Arizona Senate race and the same amount in Indiana, both for new ads attacking the Democratic nominees. The Club endorsed Rep. Jeff Flake (R-Ariz.) and Indiana Treasurer Richard Mourdock (R) before their respective primary election wins. 

* Kaine has bought $3 million more in ad time, bringing his total buy through Election Day to $7.5 million. 

* Rep. Allen West (R-Fla.) raised over $4 million during the third quarter, another mammoth haul for the congressman, who ended he period with over $3 million in the bank -- meaning he spent big, too. West's total haul for the cycle ($14.5 million) appears to be a record for a House candidate. Meanwhile, West's opponent Patrick Murphy (D) is up with a hard-hitting new ad hitting West over his assault of an Iraqi detainee during his time in the Army. 

* The anti-abortion group Susan B. Anthony List's Women Speak Out PAC is launching a $500,000 ad campaign against Obama in Ohio, Florida and Virginia. One spot calls Obama an "abortion radical" while another features a woman who says, "Many children -- more than you might think, actually survive failed abortions and are born alive. I know because I am one of them." 

THE FIX MIX: 

To the winner goes the stuffed animal.

 With Aaron Blake

Sean Sullivan covers national politics for “The Fix.”
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Scott Clement | October 2, 2012