How Mitt Romney could have won

May 31, 2013

Mitt Romney is planning a three-day gathering next week in Utah, the first step in a planned reemergence on the national scene, the former Massachusetts governor told the Wall Street Journal's Neil King Jr. on Friday.

Until now, Romney had been virtually nonexistent following his convincing loss at the hands of President Obama last November.

But, was Romney's loss that convincing? Check out the math in this cool infographic courtesy of the Smart Media Group.

4 States, 429,000 Votes

 

Of course, hypotheticals are just that.  If the Fix was better at basketball, we could have made the NBA. We aren't -- and we didn't.

But the fact that just more than 200,000 votes would have given Romney a win -- albeit it a narrow one -- is a reminder that the margin for error for President Obama and his team was smaller in retrospect than it might have looked in the immediate aftermath of the election. Worth remembering: John Kerry lost Ohio by 262,000 votes in 2004. Win the Buckeye State and Kerry is president.

While the chart above will likely give heart to some Republicans still in mourning following 2012, what it doesn't take into account are the demographic changes in the country. HIspanic growth (and the continued inability of Republicans to be competitive for that voting bloc) will likely make GOP states into toss ups in 2016 (Arizona) or 2020 (Texas). It's hard to see a solidly Democratic state that will be added to the GOP target list in that same time frame.

Chris Cillizza writes “The Fix,” a politics blog for the Washington Post. He also covers the White House.
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Aaron Blake | May 31, 2013