The Senate immigration bill whip list

June 27, 2013

The Senate is still working out the kinks on its comprehensive immigration overhaul bill, but we're starting to get a sense of where senators stand on it. Below, we've compiled our best estimation as to who is likely to support or oppose the bill -- and how firm those positions are.

First, some caveats:

1) This list assumes that 44 of 54 Senate Democrats will support the bill. We've left them off this list and instead highlighted 10 moderate Democrats who are considered potential 'no' votes, along with all 46 Republicans.

2) This is a very fluid situation, and things can and will change quickly. As things change and as more members make their positions public, this list will continue to be updated. So check back often. (And hit the "e-mail the writer" button above to forward any suggestions.)

Remember, the bill effectively requires 60 votes to pass, but supporters would like to get to at least 70 votes -- the point at which it is seen as having a good chance to pass in the GOP-controlled House.

YES (54)

  • 44 Democratic senators
  • Ayotte (R-N.H.) - announced support
  • Begich (D-Alaska) - announced support
  • Chiesa (R-N.J.) - announced support
  • Corker (R-Tenn.) - crafted border security deal
  • Flake (R-Ariz.) – Gang of Eight member, voted yes in committee
  • Graham (R-S.C.) – Gang of Eight member, voted yes in committee
  • Heller (R-Nev.) – announced support
  • Hoeven (R-N.D.) - crafted border security deal
  • Kirk (R-Ill.) - announced support
  • McCain (R-Ariz.) – Gang of Eight member

LIKELY YES (10)

  • Alexander (R-Tenn.) - co-sponsor of border security deal
  • Collins (R-Maine) - voted for cloture on border security deal
  • Hatch (R-Utah) – voted yes in committee, inclined to support
  • Murkowski (R-Alaska) - co-sponsor of border security deal
  • Rubio (R-Fla.) – Gang of Eight member
  • Donnelly (D-Ind.) - co-sponsor of border security deal
  • Hagan (D-N.C.) - up for reeleection in 2014, voted for cloture on border security deal
  • Landrieu (D-La.) - up for reeleection in 2014, voted against 2007 bill, for cloture on border security deal
  • Manchin (D-W.Va.) - co-sponsor of border security deal
  • Pryor (D-Ark.) - up for reeleection in 2014, voted against 2007 bill, co-sponsor of border security deal

UNDETERMINED (4)

  • Baucus (D-Mont.) - retiring, voted against 2007 bill, voted for border security deal, undecided on overall bill
  • Johnson (D-S.D.) - retiring, voted for border security deal
  • Rockefeller (D-W.Va.) - retiring, voted against 2007 bill, voted for border security deal
  • Tester (D-Mont.) - voted against 2007 bill, voted for border security deal, undecided on overall bill

LIKELY NO (20)

  • Barrasso (R-Wyo.) - voted against motion to proceed, against border security deal
  • Blunt (R-Mo.) - "very serious concerns" about the bill, voted against cloture on border security deal
  • Boozman (R-Ark.) - voted against motion to proceed, against border security deal
  • Coats (R-Ind.) - voted against border security deal
  • Coburn (R-Okla.) - said Monday that border security deal and bill are "full of holes"
  • Cochran (R-Miss.) - voted against motion to proceed, against border security deal
  • Crapo (R-Idaho) - voted against motion to proceed, against border security deal
  • Enzi (R-Wyo.) - voted against motion to proceed, against border security deal
  • Fischer (R-Neb.) - voted against border security deal
  • Inhofe (R-Okla.) - voted against motion to proceed, against border security deal
  • Johnson (R-Wis.) - voted against border security deal, "not optimistic"
  • McConnell (R-Ky.) - up for reelection in 2014, voted against border security deal
  • Portman (R-Ohio) - voted against border security deal
  • Risch (R-Idaho) - voted against motion to proceed, against border security deal
  • Roberts (R-Kan.) - voted against motion to proceed, against border security deal
  • Scott (R-S.C.) - voted against motion to proceed, against border security deal
  • Shelby (R-Ala.) - voted against motion to proceed, against border security deal
  • Thune (R-S.D.) - voted against border security deal
  • Toomey (R-Pa.) - voted against border security deal, "unlikely" to support bill
  • Wicker (R-Miss.) - voted for border security deal, but leaning no overall

NO (12)

  • Burr (R-N.C.) - will oppose, The Fix has learned
  • Chambliss (R-Ga.) - announced opposition
  • Cornyn (R-Texas) - announced opposition
  • Cruz (R-Texas) - wrote letter in opposition, voted no in committee
  • Grassley (R-Iowa) - wrote letter in opposition, voted no in committee
  • Isakson (R-Ga.) - announced opposition
  • Johanns (R-Neb.) - retiring, announced opposition
  • Lee (R-Utah) - wrote letter in opposition, voted no in committee
  • Moran (R-Kan.) - announced opposition
  • Paul (R-Ky.) - announced opposition
  • Sessions (R-Ala.) - wrote letter in opposition, voted no in committee
  • Vitter (R-La.) - announced opposition

Updated at 12:37 p.m. Thursday.

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Chris Cillizza · June 27, 2013