What are the chances of a government shutdown? Better than 50-50.

September 15, 2013

There's a 60 percent chance the government will shutdown for at least a few days at the of this month, according to budget expert Stan Collender.

Patrons walk through the National Gallery of Art in Washington, Friday, April 8, 2011, as Congress continues to debate in hopes of avoiding a government shutdown. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)

"A shutdown may be what the [GOP] leadership has to allow to show their tea party people they're willing to go to the wall," Collender said in an interview for Post TV's "In Play" this week.

Collender added that the chances of the debt ceiling not being raised are far smaller -- in the "10 to 20 percent range."

The full interview is below.  And make sure to follow Stan on Twitter to get smarter in these next six weeks.

Deadlines for the budget and raising the debt ceiling will coincide in a few weeks. And there’s still sequestration and tax reform to deal with. Budget expert Stan Collender gives us his take on what he's calling #cliffgate. (The Washington Post)

Chris Cillizza writes “The Fix,” a politics blog for the Washington Post. He also covers the White House.
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