wpostServer: http://css.washingtonpost.com/wpost

The debt-ceiling deal in one flowchart

at 11:31 AM ET, 08/01/2011

Senate Republicans are circulating a useful flow chart laying out the various paths the debt-ceiling deal could lead us down:

You can see a larger version here. They’re also circulating a summary of the plan that includes a section entitled “practical considerations.” This is, in effect, Mitch McConnell’s case for the legislation, and it’s notable for being both more accurate and more savvy/cynical than the case John Boehner made to his members. Here it is in full. I’ve italicized the more interesting parts:

• The maximum the debt ceiling can be raised is $2.4 trillion (if the committee has enacted at least $1.5 trillion in savings or if a BBA has been sent to the states). The minimum the debt ceiling can be raised is $2.1 trillion (if the joint committee fails to meet its target). In both circumstances, there would be dollar-for-dollar cuts coupled with the debt ceiling increase.

• The trigger does not allow for increased revenue. The trigger can only result in spending cuts through caps and sequesters, not tax increases.

• The sequester is designed to dig deep enough into programs cherished by both parties that the joint committee would have a significant incentive to succeed.

Because of CBO scoring conventions, the committee would not be able to achieve deficit reduction through individual rate increases.

• If the committee fails, then the total debt limit increase is capped at $2.1 trillion, which raises the prospect of having to raise it again before the election (depending on the health of the economy).

• As a practical matter, if the full amount of the sequester were to be triggered, it would force a debate on what spending cuts could replace amounts being proposed to be sequestered. This debate would occur annually for the next nine years and keep the focus on the issue of spending well past the next election.

Loading...

Comments

Add your comment
 
Read what others are saying About Badges

    Blog Contributors

    Ezra Klein

    Ezra Klein

    Ezra Klein is the editor of Wonkblog and a columnist at the Washington Post, as well as a contributor to MSNBC and Bloomberg. His work focuses on domestic and economic policymaking, as well as the political system that’s constantly screwing it up. He really likes graphs, and is on Twitter, Google+ and Facebook. E-mail him here.

    Neil Irwin

    Neil Irwin

    Neil Irwin is a Washington Post columnist and the economics editor of Wonkblog. Each weekday morning his Econ Agenda column reports and explains the latest trends in economics, finance, and the policies that shape both. He is the author of “The Alchemists: Three Central Bankers and a World on Fire.” Follow him on Twitter here. Email him here.

    Sarah Kliff

    Sarah Kliff

    Sarah Kliff covers health policy, focusing on Medicare, Medicaid and the health reform law. She tries to fit in some reproductive health and education policy coverage, too, alongside an occasional hockey reference. Her work has appeared in Newsweek, Politico, and the BBC. She is on Twitter and Facebook.

    Brad Plumer

    Brad Plumer

    Brad Plumer is a reporter focusing on energy and environmental issues. He was previously an associate editor at The New Republic. Follow him on Twitter. Email him here.

    Dylan Matthews

    Dylan Matthews

    Dylan Matthews covers taxes, poverty, campaign finance, higher education, and all things data. He has also written for The New Republic, Salon, Slate, and The American Prospect. Follow him on Twitter here. Email him here.

    Section:/blogs/ezra-klein