The 2012 Election by the Numbers: Friday, Sept. 28

New Mitt Romney ad - Nuestra Comunidad

Real Clear Politics' Latest Polls

Race: Romney vs. Obama, National

Gallup Tracking: Obama 50, Romney 44

Rasmussen Tracking: Obama 47, Romney 46

Race: Romney vs. Obama, States

Virginia (ARG): Obama 49, Romney 47

New Hampshire (ARG): Obama 50, Romney 45

Michigan (Gravis Marketing): Obama 50, Romney 46

Pennsylvania (Morning Call): Obama 49, Romney 42

Maine (Rasmussen Reports): Obama 52, Romney 40

Race: Senate

Pennsylvania Senate (Morning Call): Casey 44, Smith 36

Michigan Senate (Gravis Marketing): Stabenow 54, Hoekstra 40

Race: Governor

Washington Governor (Rasmussen Reports): Inslee 46, McKenna 45

North Carolina Governor (Civitas): McCrory 49, Dalton 38

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Drew Linzer's Latest Projection

Electoral vote: Obama: 341; Romney: 197

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FiveThirtyEight's Latest Projection

Electoral Vote: Obama: 319.3; Romney: 218.7

Chance of winning: Obama: 83.9%; Romney: 16.1%

Popular Vote: Obama: 51.5%; Romney: 47.4%

Senate prediction: Democrats: 51.7; Republicans: 48.3

Chance of Winning: Democrats: 78.5%; Republicans: 21.5%

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Sam Wang's Latest Projection

Presidential: Obama: 341; Romney: 197

Senate: 53 D/I, 47 R (95% CI: 50-55D/I)

House: D +2.5%

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Mitt Romney: Nuestra Comunidad

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DRFMZth9chg

Barack Obama: President Obama and First Lady Michelle Obama in Iowa: Vote Early

Barack Obama: $460

Barack Obama: Mayor Julián Castro: "You Gotta Vote This Fall" - GottaVote.com | VotemosTodos.com

Barack Obama: Dan Gibbs & Teague: Romney's Colorado is Not Our Colorado

Barack Obama: Mitt Romney's Crocodile Tears

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