The 2012 Election in Numbers: Monday, Oct. 8

October 8, 2012

Obama attacks Romney's business dealings with China in a new ad.

Note – as we near the election, we’re replacing Reconciliation with a roundup of what the day’s polls and model projections say, and what the latest ads are.

Real Clear Politics' Latest Polls

Race: Romney vs. Obama, National

Pew Research: Obama 45, Romney 49

Politico/GWU/Battleground: Obama 49, Romney 48

Gallup Tracking (post-debate): Obama 47, Romney 47

Rasmussen Tracking: Obama 48, Romney 48

Race: Romney vs. Obama, States

Pennsylvania (Susquehanna): Obama 47, Romney 45

Colorado (Rasmussen Reports): Obama 49, Romney 48

Virginia (PPP): Obama 50, Romney 47

Iowa (Rasmussen Reports): Obama 49, Romney 47

Massachusetts (Western NE University): Obama 63, Romney 33

Race: Senate

Wisconsin Senate (PPP): Baldwin (D) 49, Thompson (R) 46

Florida Senate (WeAskAmerica): Nelson (D) 44, Mack (R) 44

Florida Senate (Rasmussen Reports): Nelson (D) 52, Mack (R) 41

Virginia Senate (PPP): Kaine (D) 51, Allen (R) 44

Ohio Senate (WeAskAmerica): Brown (D) 46, Mandel (R) 44

===

Drew Linzer's Latest Projection

Electoral vote: Obama: 332; Romney: 206

===

FiveThirtyEight's Latest Projection

Electoral Vote: Obama: 307.6; Romney: 230.4

Chance of winning: Obama: 78.4 percent; Romney: 21.6 percent

Popular Vote: Obama: 51.0 percent; Romney: 47.9 percent

Senate prediction: Democrats: 51.9; Republicans: 48.1

Chance of Winning: Democrats: 82.7 percent; Republicans: 17.3 percent

===

Sam Wang's Latest Projection

Presidential: Obama: 310; Romney: 228

Senate: 54 D/I, 46 R (95 percent CI: 51-56D/I)

===

Mitt Romney - $5 trillion

Mitt Romney - Melanie

Barack Obama - Policy

Barack Obama - Cameras

Barack Obama - Romney Put Profits From China Ahead of Security for America

Comments
Show Comments

Get Wonkbook in your inbox

Sign up for our morning economic policy primer.

Most Read Business
Next Story
Brad Plumer · October 8, 2012