Note – as we near the election, we’re replacing Reconciliation with a roundup of what the day’s polls and model projections say, and what the latest ads are.
Real Clear Politics’ Latest Polls
Race: Romney vs. Obama, National
Gallup: Romney 51, Obama 46
Rasmussen Reports: Romney 50, Obama 47
ABC News/Wash Post: Romney 49, Obama 48
IBD/TIPP: Romney 45, Obama 47
Race: Romney vs. Obama, States
Ohio (CNN/Opinion Research): Obama 50, Romney 46
Ohio (ARG): Obama 49, Romney 47
Ohio (Purple Strategies): Obama 46, Romney 44
Virginia (Purple Strategies): Romney 47, Obama 47
Colorado (Purple Strategies): Obama 47, Romney 46
Wisconsin (Rasmussen Reports): Obama 49, Romney 49
Florida (Sunshine State News/VSS): Romney 51, Obama 46
Florida (Rasmussen Reports): Romney 50, Obama 48
Iowa (Gravis Marketing): Obama 50, Romney 46
New Hampshire (New England College): Obama 49, Romney 46
Nevada (Gravis Marketing): Obama 50, Romney 49
North Carolina (Civitas): Romney 48, Obama 47
North Carolina (Gravis Marketing): Romney 53, Obama 45
New York (Siena): Obama 59, Romney 35
Oklahoma (Sooner Poll): Romney 59, Obama 33
Race: Senate
Virginia (Rasmussen Reports): Kaine (D) 49, Allen (R) 48
Massachusetts (Rasmussen Reports): Warren (D) 52, Brown 47
Pennsylvania (Rasmussen Reports): Casey (D) 46, Smith (R) 45
New York (Siena): Gillibrand (D) 67, Long (R) 24
Race: Governor
New Hampshire (New England College): Hassan (D) 45, Lamontagne (R) 45
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Drew Linzer’s Latest Projection
Electoral vote: Obama: 332; Romney: 206
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FiveThirtyEight’s Latest Projection
Electoral Vote: Obama: 294.1; Romney: 243.9
Chance of winning: Obama: 73.1%; Romney: 26.9%
Popular Vote: Obama: 50.2%; Romney: 48.7%
Senate prediction: Democrats: 52.4; Republicans: 47.6
Chance of Winning: Democrats: 87.6%; Republicans: 12.4%
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Presidential: Obama: 290; Romney: 248
Senate: 53 D/I, 47 R (95% CI: 52-55 D/I)
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Barack Obama — Our Voice – Obama For America TV Ad
Barack Obama — Wisconsin Votes Early
Barack Obama — Eric Smalls: Dear Mr. President
Barack Obama — Kevin Hart Supports President Obama
Barack Obama — Unbreakable
Barack Obama — Marine One Lands on the White House Lawn – President Obama’s America Forward! Tour
Barack Obama — Mark: Four More Years! – President Obama’s America Forward! Tour in Cleveland, Ohio
Barack Obama — President Obama’s America Forward! Tour – Full Speech from Cleveland, Ohio
Barack Obama — President Obama: Fired Up and Ready to Go – America Forward! Tour in Cleveland, Ohio
Barack Obama — President Obama Fires Up the Crowd in Cleveland, Ohio – America Forward! Tour
Barack Obama — President Obama Votes Early in Chicago – America Forward! Tour in Chicago, Illinois
Barack Obama — Air Force One Lands in Cleveland, Ohio – President Obama’s America Forward! Tour
Barack Obama — Waiting for Air Force One – President Obama’s America Forward! Tour in Cleveland, Ohio
Barack Obama — The Crowd Gathers in Cleveland, Ohio for President Obama’s America Forward! Tour
Barack Obama — With Love from Cleveland, Ohio – President Obama’s America Forward! Tour
Barack Obama — In Ohio Workers Vote Early
Mitt Romney — 5 Ways Catholics Can Help Right Now
