The 2012 Election in Numbers: Friday, Oct. 26.

October 26, 2012

Note – as we near the election, we’re replacing Reconciliation with a roundup of what the day’s polls and model projections say, and what the latest ads are.

Real Clear Politics' Latest Polls

 

Race: Romney vs. Obama, National

Gallup: Romney 51, Obama 46

Rasmussen Reports: Romney 50, Obama 47

ABC News/Wash Post: Romney 49, Obama 48

IBD/TIPP: Romney 45, Obama 47

Race: Romney vs. Obama, States

Ohio (CNN/Opinion Research): Obama 50, Romney 46

Ohio (ARG): Obama 49, Romney 47

Ohio (Purple Strategies): Obama 46, Romney 44

Virginia (Purple Strategies): Romney 47, Obama 47

Colorado (Purple Strategies): Obama 47, Romney 46

Wisconsin (Rasmussen Reports): Obama 49, Romney 49

Florida (Sunshine State News/VSS): Romney 51, Obama 46

Florida (Rasmussen Reports): Romney 50, Obama 48

Iowa (Gravis Marketing): Obama 50, Romney 46

New Hampshire (New England College): Obama 49, Romney 46

Nevada (Gravis Marketing): Obama 50, Romney 49

North Carolina (Civitas): Romney 48, Obama 47

North Carolina (Gravis Marketing): Romney 53, Obama 45

New York (Siena): Obama 59, Romney 35

Oklahoma (Sooner Poll): Romney 59, Obama 33

Race: Senate

Virginia (Rasmussen Reports): Kaine (D) 49, Allen (R) 48

Massachusetts (Rasmussen Reports): Warren (D) 52, Brown 47

Pennsylvania (Rasmussen Reports): Casey (D) 46, Smith (R) 45

New York (Siena): Gillibrand (D) 67, Long (R) 24

Race: Governor

New Hampshire (New England College): Hassan (D) 45, Lamontagne (R) 45

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Drew Linzer's Latest Projection

 

Electoral vote: Obama: 332; Romney: 206

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FiveThirtyEight's Latest Projection

 

Electoral Vote: Obama: 294.1; Romney: 243.9

 

Chance of winning: Obama: 73.1%; Romney: 26.9%

Popular Vote: Obama: 50.2%; Romney: 48.7%

Senate prediction: Democrats: 52.4; Republicans: 47.6

 

Chance of Winning: Democrats: 87.6%; Republicans: 12.4%

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Sam Wang's Latest Projection

 

Presidential: Obama: 290; Romney: 248

Senate: 53 D/I, 47 R (95% CI: 52-55 D/I)

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Barack Obama — Our Voice - Obama For America TV Ad

Barack Obama — Wisconsin Votes Early

Barack Obama — Eric Smalls: Dear Mr. President

Barack Obama — Kevin Hart Supports President Obama

Barack Obama — Unbreakable

Barack Obama — Marine One Lands on the White House Lawn - President Obama's America Forward! Tour

Barack Obama — Mark: Four More Years! - President Obama's America Forward! Tour in Cleveland, Ohio

Barack Obama — President Obama's America Forward! Tour - Full Speech from Cleveland, Ohio

Barack Obama — President Obama: Fired Up and Ready to Go - America Forward! Tour in Cleveland, Ohio

Barack Obama — President Obama Fires Up the Crowd in Cleveland, Ohio - America Forward! Tour

Barack Obama — President Obama Votes Early in Chicago - America Forward! Tour in Chicago, Illinois

Barack Obama — Air Force One Lands in Cleveland, Ohio - President Obama's America Forward! Tour

Barack Obama — Waiting for Air Force One - President Obama's America Forward! Tour in Cleveland, Ohio

Barack Obama — The Crowd Gathers in Cleveland, Ohio for President Obama's America Forward! Tour

Barack Obama — With Love from Cleveland, Ohio - President Obama's America Forward! Tour

Barack Obama — In Ohio Workers Vote Early

Mitt Romney — 5 Ways Catholics Can Help Right Now

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