Note – as we near the election, we’re replacing Reconciliation with a roundup of what the day’s polls and model projections say, and what the latest ads are.
Real Clear Politics’ Latest Polls
Race: Romney vs. Obama, National
Pew Research: Romney 47, Obama 47
Gallup: Romney 51, Obama 46
ABC News/Wash Post: Romney 49, Obama 49
Politico/GWU/Battleground: Romney 48, Obama 49
Rasmussen Reports: Romney 49, Obama 47
Race: Romney vs. Obama, States
Ohio (Rasmussen Reports): Obama 48, Romney 50
Florida (CNN/Opinion Research): Romney 50, Obama 49
Colorado (ARG): Obama 47, Romney 48
North Carolina (Elon University): Romney 45, Obama 45
Massachusetts (Boston Globe): Obama 56, Romney 39
Maryland (Baltimore Sun): Obama 55, Romney 36
Race: Senate
Massachusetts (Boston Globe): Warren (D) 47, Brown 47
Ohio (Cincinnati Enquirer/Ohio News): Brown 51, Mandel (R) 47
Florida (Rasmussen Reports): Nelson (D) 49, Mack (R) 46
Florida (Sunshine State News/VSS): Nelson (D) 49, Mack (R) 44
Connecticut (Rasmussen Reports): Murphy (D) 51, McMahon (R) 45
Hawaii (Honolulu Star-Advertiser): Hirono (D) 57, Lingle (R) 35
Maryland (Baltimore Sun): Cardin (D) 50, Bongino 24, Sobhani 14
Race: House
Maryland 6th District (Baltimore Sun): Delaney (D) 42, Bartlett 41 (R)
Race: Governor
North Carolina (Elon University): McCrory (R) 52, Dalton (D) 38
North Carolina (Rasmussen Reports): McCrory (R) 54, Dalton (D) 35
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Drew Linzer’s Latest Projection
Electoral vote: Obama: 332; Romney: 206
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FiveThirtyEight’s Latest Projection
Electoral Vote: Obama: 296.6; Romney: 241.4
Chance of winning: Obama: 74.6%; Romney: 25.4%
Popular Vote: Obama: 50.4%; Romney: 48.7%
Senate prediction: Democrats: 52.6; Republicans: 47.5
Chance of Winning: Democrats: 90.9%; Republicans: 9.1%
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Presidential: Obama: 303; Romney: 235
Senate: 53 D/I, 47 R (95% CI: 52-55 D/I)
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Barack Obama — Collapse
Barack Obama — Colorado Early Votes
Barack Obama — First Lady Michelle Obama: “I Cast My Vote Early for Barack Obama”
Barack Obama — From One Wolfpack to Another
Barack Obama — Vote Early Florida
Barack Obama — Vice President Biden: Catholics for Obama
Barack Obama — How We Win: Making Sure Every Vote Counts
Barack Obama — The Road to November 6th: America Forward! Tour
