The 2012 Election in Numbers: Thursday, Nov. 1

November 1, 2012

Note – as we near the election, we’re replacing Reconciliation with a roundup of what the day’s polls and model projections say, and what the latest ads are.

Real Clear Politics' Latest Polls

Race: Romney vs. Obama, National

ABC News/Wash Post: Obama 48.56, Romney 48.49

Rasmussen Reports: Obama 47, Romney 49

Race: Romney vs. Obama, States

Colorado (CNN/Opinion Research): Obama 50, Romney 48

Colorado (Rasmussen Reports): Obama 47, Romney 50

New Hampshire (NBC/WSJ/Marist): Obama 49, Romney 47

Iowa (Rasmussen Reports): Obama 48, Romney 49

Iowa (NBC/WSJ/Marist): Obama 50, Romney 44

Nevada (LVRJ/SurveyUSA): Obama 50, Romney 46

Wisconsin (NBC/WSJ/Marist): Obama 49, Romney 46

Wisconsin (Rasmussen Reports): Obama 49, Romney 49

Wisconsin (WPR/St. Norbert): Obama 51, Romney 42

Washington (SurveyUSA): Obama 54, Romney 40

Rhode Island (WPRI/Fleming): Obama 54, Romney 33

Race: Senate

Wisconsin (NBC/WSJ/Marist): Baldwin (D) 48, Thompson (R) 47

Wisconsin (WPR/St. Norbert): Baldwin (D) 43, Thompson (R) 46

Hawaii (Honolulu Civil Beat/MRG): Hirono (D) 55, Lingle (R) 40

Minnesota (KSTP/SurveyUSA): Klobuchar (D) 60, Bills 29

Rhode Island (WPRI-TV): Whitehouse (D) 55, Hinckley (R) 33

Race: House

California 52nd District (SurveyUSA): Bilbray 46, Peters 46

New York 21st District (Siena): Owens 44, Doheny 43

New York 25th District (Siena): Slaughter 52, Brooks 42

Rhode Island 1st District (WPRI-TV) Cicilline (D) 43, Doherty (R) 42

Race: Governor

Washington (SurveyUSA): Inslee (D) 47, McKenna (R) 46

New Hampshire (NBC/WSJ/Marist): Hassan (D) 49, Lamontagne (R) 44

===

Drew Linzer's Latest Projection

Electoral vote: Obama: 332; Romney: 206

===

FiveThirtyEight's Latest Projection

Electoral Vote: Obama: 300.4; Romney: 237.6

Chance of winning: Obama: 79.0%; Romney: 21.0%

Popular Vote: Obama: 50.5%; Romney: 48.6%

Senate prediction: Democrats: 52.4; Republicans: 47.6

Chance of Winning: Democrats: 91.3%; Republicans: 8.7%

===

Sam Wang's Latest Projection

Presidential: Obama: 315; Romney: 223

===

Barack Obama — Make a Plan

Barack Obama — Cynical

Barack Obama — Alicia Keys: Every Vote Counts

Barack Obama — Solid

Barack Obama — Nevada: Go Vote

Barack Obama — Nevada We Decide

Barack Obama — President Obama Early Votes

Barack Obama — Beau Biden: Honoring Our Commitment to Veterans

Mitt Romney — Iowa Newspapers Agree

Mitt Romney — Clear Eyes, Full Hearts - Colorado

Mitt Romney — Clear Eyes, Full Hearts - Ohio

Mitt Romney — Secretary of Business

Mitt Romney — Bill's BBQ

Mitt Romney — Secretary Of Business

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Dylan Matthews | November 1, 2012