Note – as we near the election, we’re replacing Reconciliation with a roundup of what the day’s polls and model projections say, and what the latest ads are.
Real Clear Politics’ Latest Polls
Race: Romney vs. Obama, National
ABC News/Wash Post: Obama 48, Romney 49
Rasmussen Reports: Obama 48, Romney 48
Race: Romney vs. Obama, States
Ohio (CNN/Opinion Research): Obama 50, Romney 47
Ohio (Rasmussen Reports): Obama 49, Romney 49
Colorado (Denver Post/SurveyUSA): Obama 47, Romney 45
New Hampshire (Gravis Marketing): Obama 50, Romney 49
New Hampshire (New England College): Obama 50, Romney 44
Iowa (Gravis Marketing): Obama 49, Romney 45
Michigan (Rasmussen Reports): Obama 52, Romney 47
Indiana (Howey/DePauw): Romney 51, Obama 41
Nebraska (WeAskAmerica): Romney 54, Obama 41
Hawaii (Honolulu Civil Beat/MRG): Obama 61, Romney 34
Race: Senate
Indiana (Rasmussen Reports): Donnelly (D) 45, Mourdock (R) 42
Wisconsin (Rasmussen Reports): Baldwin (D) 48, Thompson (R) 48
Montana (Rasmussen Reports): Tester (D) 49, Rehberg (R) 48
Indiana (Howey/DePauw): Donnelly (D) 47, Mourdock (R) 36
Nebraska (WeAskAmerica): Fischer (R) 54, Kerrey (D) 41
Race: House
New Hampshire 1st District (New England College): Guinta (R) 48, Shea-Porter (D) 41
New Hampshire 2nd District (New England College): Kuster (D) 47, Bass (R) 41
Race: Governor
Montana (Mason-Dixon): Hill (R) 49, Bullock (D) 46
Indiana (Howey/DePauw): Pence (R) 47, Gregg (D) 40
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Drew Linzer’s Latest Projection
Electoral vote: Obama: 332; Romney: 206
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FiveThirtyEight’s Latest Projection
Electoral Vote: Obama: 303.4; Romney: 234.6
Chance of winning: Obama: 80.9%; Romney: 19.1%
Popular Vote: Obama: 50.5%; Romney: 48.4%
Senate prediction: Democrats: 52.4; Republicans: 47.6
Chance of Winning: Democrats: 91.3%; Republicans: 8.7%
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Presidential: Obama: 319; Romney: 219
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Barack Obama — President Obama in Springfield, OH – Full Speech 11/2/2012
Barack Obama — The 100th Day of the Romney Administration
Barack Obama — Vice President Joe Biden Breaks Down the Romney-Ryan Plan for Seniors
Barack Obama — Guys For Women’s Rights
Barack Obama — The Final Event: Where it All Began
Barack Obama — President Obama in Boulder, CO – Full Speech 11/1/2012
Barack Obama — President Obama in Green Bay, Wisconsin – Full Speech 11/1/2012
Mitt Romney — Real Change From Day One
Mitt Romney — More Than A Number
