2012

A game changer for campaign reporting

A completely new kind of campaign book.

  • Ezra Klein
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  • Nov 9, 2013

What really decided the 2012 election, in 10 graphs

Romney was likable, the economy favored Obama, neither side had a big air war advantage, and more hard facts about the 2012 election.

  • John Sides and Lynn Vavreck
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  • Oct 14, 2013

Four reasons it’s hard to campaign your way to the presidency

The post-2102 narrative had a circular logic to it: Obama won because of his superior campaign, and we know that his campaign was superior because he won.

Political ads: Not as powerful as you (or politicians) think

A close look at the ads from the 2012 campaign shows that most voters just didn't care.

2012: The year in graphs and gifs

A look back at the year in political and policy news, in gifs and graphs. We promise this won't hurt a bit.

  • Dylan Matthews
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  • Dec 31, 2012

Karl Rove doesn’t care about silly old elections

Let us not lose the capacity to be amazed.

  • Ezra Klein
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  • Dec 17, 2012

The auto bailout didn’t decide the election

Once we account for population and basic ethnic/racial demographics, counties that are home to Big Three plants just didn't vote very differently from similar counties that are not.

From the 47% to ‘gifts': Mitt Romney’s ugly vision of politics

When Romney thinks he's behind closed doors and he's just telling other people like him how politics really works, the picture he paints is so ugly as to be bordering on dystopic. It's not just about class, but about worth, and legitimacy.

  • Ezra Klein
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  • Nov 15, 2012

Who got it right in 2012

The discussion of "who got it right" has pretty much begun and ended with Nate Silver. I'm a fan of Silver's, but some other names deserve to appear on the honor roll. So here's who I trust more now that the election is over.

  • Ezra Klein
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  • Nov 12, 2012

A remarkable, historic period of change

Viewed against most other eras in American life, the pace of policy change in the last few years has been incredibly fast. Historians, looking back from more quiescent periods, will marvel at all that we have lived through.

  • Ezra Klein
  • ·
  • Nov 11, 2012

House Democrats got more votes than House Republicans. Yet Boehner says he’s got a mandate?

House Democrats got 54,301,095 votes while House Republicans got 53,822,442. That is to say, House Republicans did the equivalent of winning the electoral college while losing the popular vote. That doesn't give them a mandate. But it doesn't mean Obama gets one, either.

  • Ezra Klein
  • ·
  • Nov 9, 2012

Don’t blame Romney’s message

A campaign's message isn't some free-floating concept unmoored from reality or strategic thinking. Messages are tied down by circumstance. And the attacks on Mitt Romney's messaging forget why he adopted the message he ultimately did.

  • Ezra Klein
  • ·
  • Nov 8, 2012

‘We definitely lost four or five points between the storm and Chris Christie’

Republicans have some tough questions to answer about this election. But if the plan is to try and tell themselves that everything would've worked out if not for that meddling storm, they're not going to end up with very useful answers.

  • Ezra Klein
  • ·
  • Nov 8, 2012

The Romney campaign’s biggest mistake in the election

I want you to look at two photographs, one of the crowd at Mitt Romney's concession speech, and one of the crowd at President Obama's victory rally. They show what happened in this election, and what's going to happen to the GOP in coming elections.

  • Ezra Klein
  • ·
  • Nov 7, 2012

Which pollsters to trust, in one chart

Rasmussen and Gallup flubbed big-time, while YouGov and PPP were the big winners.

  • Dylan Matthews
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  • Nov 7, 2012

The 2012 election in charts

The demographics shifted. Democrats and Republicans saw the world differently. And some pundits and pollsters got things very wrong. Here are our key charts from the 2012 elections.

  • Sarah Kliff, Dylan Mathews, Brad Plumer
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  • Nov 7, 2012

Obama’s victory speech: Behind the return of the president’s rhetoric

Judging from Twitter, President Obama's rousing victory speech left most everyone with the same question: Where's that guy been during the 2012 campaign?

  • Ezra Klein
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  • Nov 7, 2012

Obama’s second term: Change you can really believe in

President Obama's reelection isn't about hope and change. It's about change. And because Obamacare, Wall Street reform, and tax increases are already law, it's about change that you actually can believe in. Change that's pretty much guaranteed.

  • Ezra Klein
  • ·
  • Nov 7, 2012

Footnoting the election!

The full Wonkblog team is here tonight to provide real-time context and information as polls close across the country

  • Ezra Klein, Suzy Khimm, Sarah Kliff, Dylan Matthews, Brad Plumer
  • ·
  • Nov 6, 2012

Romney campaign out-advertises Obama in the final week

The final push from the Romney campaign and its allies is evident. For the first time this fall, they aired more ads than did the Obama campaign and its allies—about 7,500 more.

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