A completely new kind of campaign book.
Romney was likable, the economy favored Obama, neither side had a big air war advantage, and more hard facts about the 2012 election.
The post-2102 narrative had a circular logic to it: Obama won because of his superior campaign, and we know that his campaign was superior because he won.
A close look at the ads from the 2012 campaign shows that most voters just didn't care.
A look back at the year in political and policy news, in gifs and graphs. We promise this won't hurt a bit.
Let us not lose the capacity to be amazed.
Once we account for population and basic ethnic/racial demographics, counties that are home to Big Three plants just didn't vote very differently from similar counties that are not.
When Romney thinks he's behind closed doors and he's just telling other people like him how politics really works, the picture he paints is so ugly as to be bordering on dystopic. It's not just about class, but about worth, and legitimacy.
The discussion of "who got it right" has pretty much begun and ended with Nate Silver. I'm a fan of Silver's, but some other names deserve to appear on the honor roll. So here's who I trust more now that the election is over.
Viewed against most other eras in American life, the pace of policy change in the last few years has been incredibly fast. Historians, looking back from more quiescent periods, will marvel at all that we have lived through.
House Democrats got 54,301,095 votes while House Republicans got 53,822,442. That is to say, House Republicans did the equivalent of winning the electoral college while losing the popular vote. That doesn't give them a mandate. But it doesn't mean Obama gets one, either.
A campaign's message isn't some free-floating concept unmoored from reality or strategic thinking. Messages are tied down by circumstance. And the attacks on Mitt Romney's messaging forget why he adopted the message he ultimately did.
Republicans have some tough questions to answer about this election. But if the plan is to try and tell themselves that everything would've worked out if not for that meddling storm, they're not going to end up with very useful answers.
I want you to look at two photographs, one of the crowd at Mitt Romney's concession speech, and one of the crowd at President Obama's victory rally. They show what happened in this election, and what's going to happen to the GOP in coming elections.
Rasmussen and Gallup flubbed big-time, while YouGov and PPP were the big winners.
The demographics shifted. Democrats and Republicans saw the world differently. And some pundits and pollsters got things very wrong. Here are our key charts from the 2012 elections.
Judging from Twitter, President Obama's rousing victory speech left most everyone with the same question: Where's that guy been during the 2012 campaign?
President Obama's reelection isn't about hope and change. It's about change. And because Obamacare, Wall Street reform, and tax increases are already law, it's about change that you actually can believe in. Change that's pretty much guaranteed.
The full Wonkblog team is here tonight to provide real-time context and information as polls close across the country
The final push from the Romney campaign and its allies is evident. For the first time this fall, they aired more ads than did the Obama campaign and its allies—about 7,500 more.