New data suggests that most competitive Senate races give voters a choice between two candidates who are quite far apart ideologically.
Nate Silver gives Obama an 87 percent chance of winning, and other results from models and polls.
National Journal has Obama and Romney tied, and other poll and model results.
Nate Silver finds Obama has a 85.1 percent chance of winning, Democrats pull away in Senate polls, the race stays tight nationally, and other results from the day's polls and models.
A statistical snapshot of the presidential race.
A daily roundup of new polls and model results.
Most Congressional campaign proposals are milquetoast and predictable. But a few suggestions stick out from the pack. Here are 13 you should know about.
It looks like 2013-2014 will be 2009-10 redux. Democrats will have all branches of government, but the filibuster will still make life difficult.
Rush Limbaugh and Gary Bauer say the government-dependent poor will turn out in droves. They won't.
Overall, more models have Obama winning than not. But the two that don't should give Romney backers hope.