electioneering

The Senate may not get more Democratic, but it could get a lot more liberal

New data suggests that most competitive Senate races give voters a choice between two candidates who are quite far apart ideologically.

  • Dylan Matthews
  • ·
  • Oct 31, 2012

The 2012 Election by the Numbers: Friday, Oct. 5

Nate Silver gives Obama an 87 percent chance of winning, and other results from models and polls.

  • Dylan Matthews
  • ·
  • Oct 5, 2012

The Election in Numbers: Tuesday, Oct. 2

National Journal has Obama and Romney tied, and other poll and model results.

  • Dylan Matthews
  • ·
  • Oct 3, 2012

The 2012 Election by the Numbers: Monday, Oct. 1

Nate Silver finds Obama has a 85.1 percent chance of winning, Democrats pull away in Senate polls, the race stays tight nationally, and other results from the day's polls and models.

  • Dylan Matthews
  • ·
  • Oct 1, 2012

The 2012 Election by the Numbers: Friday, Sept. 28

A statistical snapshot of the presidential race.

  • Dylan Matthews
  • ·
  • Sep 28, 2012

The 2012 Election by the Numbers: Thursday, Sept. 27

A daily roundup of new polls and model results.

  • Dylan Matthews
  • ·
  • Sep 27, 2012

Congressional candidates have policy ideas, too. Here are 13 to watch.

Most Congressional campaign proposals are milquetoast and predictable. But a few suggestions stick out from the pack. Here are 13 you should know about.

  • Dylan Matthews
  • ·
  • Sep 21, 2012

Do Democrats have a 74 percent chance of retaking the House?

It looks like 2013-2014 will be 2009-10 redux. Democrats will have all branches of government, but the filibuster will still make life difficult.

  • Dylan Matthews
  • ·
  • Sep 20, 2012

Rush Limbaugh says welfare recipients turn out to vote in force. They really don’t.

Rush Limbaugh and Gary Bauer say the government-dependent poor will turn out in droves. They won't.

  • Dylan Matthews
  • ·
  • Sep 17, 2012

Forecasting the election: Most models say Obama will win. But not all.

Overall, more models have Obama winning than not. But the two that don't should give Romney backers hope.

  • Dylan Matthews
  • ·
  • Aug 31, 2012