Romney pulls even or ahead in national polls, political science models tighten, and other results from the day's polls and models.
Elizabeth Warren has MA-SEN locked up, Romney creeps up on Obama in Virginia and Colorado, and other model and poll results.
Obama still leads in swing states, Bob Casey faces an unexpectedly close race for reelection to the Senate, and other poll and model findings from the day.
Romney leads in the Gallup poll, Democrats might pull off an upset in North Dakota, and other polling and model highlights.
Pew has Romney ahead nationally, another poll has him two points behind in Pennsylvania, and other highlights from the latest models and polls.
Nate Silver gives Obama an 87 percent chance of winning, and other results from models and polls.
Obama leads by six, Democrats eye a Senate pickup in Arizona, and other poll and model results.
National Journal has Obama and Romney tied, and other poll and model results.
Nate Silver finds Obama has a 85.1 percent chance of winning, Democrats pull away in Senate polls, the race stays tight nationally, and other results from the day's polls and models.
MIT's Daron Acemoglu argues that if the U.S. adopted the Swedish model, everyone would suffer. It's not clear that's the case.
Overall, more models have Obama winning than not. But the two that don't should give Romney backers hope.