Most Americans approve of foreign drone strikes

The exception? If they think there'll be significant civilian casualties. But without a political leader for the anti-drone position, that argument isn't being heard.

By John Sides March 10, 2013

Poll: Actual Republicans don’t want to cut or tax anything

A new McClatchy-Marist poll gave voters a suite of options for reducing the deficit. Democrats are supportive of new taxes but opposed to spending cuts. As for Republicans? Well, Republicans are opposed to everything.

By Ezra Klein December 13, 2012

The 2012 Election in Numbers: Friday, Nov. 2

Democrats look set to pick up a Senate seat in Indiana while most models say Obama has it locked up, and other highlights from the day's election numbers.

By Dylan Matthews November 2, 2012

Why campaign “momentum” is usually a bad sign

I'd bet that a careful study of media mentions of a candidate's "momentum" would find that they tend to presage that candidate losing altitude in the polls. That's because while "momentum" may not be real, reversion to the mean is.

By Ezra Klein November 2, 2012

Nate Silver and the forecasting consensus, in one chart

Nate Silver's forecast isn't an outlier. In fact, it's actually quite a bit friendlier to Romney's chances than the other models, and only a little more bullish on Obama than the betting markets.

By Ezra Klein October 31, 2012

Will Romney win the popular vote but lose the presidency?

It's time to just say this clearly: A straightforward read of the polls suggests we're likely to see Mitt Romney win the popular vote and Barack Obama win the electoral college -- and, thus, the presidency. But most pollsters don't think that will happen.

By Ezra Klein October 26, 2012