Among the steps the Fed might take are a firm commitment to hold interest rates at extremely low levels for an even longer period of time — officials now project keeping them low through at least late 2014 — and a new round of Fed purchases of Treasury bonds or mortgage-backed securities — “quantitative easing,” in Fedspeak.
Analysts say the country needs to add roughly 130,000 jobs per month for the recovery to maintain its momentum. But to truly make a dent in the unemployment rate, hiring must reach a sustained rate of 250,000 jobs a month. The country has hit that mark only three times over the past year and a half.
“We had a tease,” said Keith Hall, a senior research fellow at George Mason University and former commissioner of the Bureau of Labor Statistics. “It just didn’t last.”
In May, the health-care and transportation sectors each hired more than 30,000 people, the most of any industry. But those gains were offset by a sharp drop in construction jobs. Economists said a small increase in the number of people who are now looking for work also helped drive up the unemployment rate.
There were small rays of optimism, however. The government also reported that consumer spending rose by 0.3 percent in April and that incomes increased 0.2 percent. Automakers announced strong May sales, with Chrysler up 30 percent in the United States. Ford and General Motors also posted double-digit gains.
But that was not enough to dispel the fog of uncertainty over the direction of the recovery. Carl Camden, chief executive of Kelly Services, a global staffing firm, said businesses will only hire when they are confident that demand will emerge to support those jobs. In addition to worries over Europe, he said his clients remain concerned about domestic issues such as health-care costs and what the presidential election will mean for taxes and government spending cuts.
“Very few companies are willing to take money and invest in the future now,” he said.
Staff writers Zachary S. Goldfarb and Phil Rucker contributed to this report.
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