For instance, in 2002 the company recorded an expense of $34.5 million associated with the Kaplan compensation plan, an amount equal to the entire higher-education division’s profit that year. By 2010, Kaplan executives had cashed in $291 million of stock options.
“Companies across the United States, including Yahoo and AOL, were offering enormous amounts to talented young people,” Graham says. In contrast, while Graham receives millions in dividends from his Post stock holdings, he drives a Buick and has drawn an annual salary of $400,000 for the past 20 years.
“We never in our wildest dreams” thought Kaplan would get so big or that the executives there would reap such large rewards, Graham said. “Was that bad for Washington Post shareholders? No, I don’t think so.”
Ultimately, say past and present Post executives, board members and Graham family friends, Grayer’s ambition to have a bigger role at the parent company made his departure inevitable.
In July 2008, Grayer gave a video interview to the Financial Times in which he was asked to use the financial lingo “long” or “short” to indicate optimism or pessimism about a list of things, including English as a global language and the Beijing Olympics.
Asked about for-profit education, Grayer said “Long.”
Newspapers? A pause and a chuckle, then “Short.”
Young CEOs? There was a long pause. “Long.”
Four months later, Grayer and The Post Co. announced they were parting ways and that Rosen would take over. According to filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, Grayer received his base salary, which was not disclosed, plus incentives and $46 million from the Kaplan stock option plan. There was also an agreement that if Grayer didn’t go to work for a competitor, The Post Co. would pay him an additional $10 million in 2009 and $20 million in November 2011.
2008: A bad year
Rosen, Grayer’s deputy and a lawyer by training, was the obvious choice to follow him. Focused like his predecessor but milder in temperament, Rosen had worked beside Grayer for 16 years.
But while Grayer had a charmed run as chief executive, Rosen took over just when the company began facing challenges on a number of fronts — in the new Obama administration, in Congress and on Wall Street.
The key measures the government uses to judge for-profit education — default rates and dependence on student loan money — were flashing red.
At Kaplan’s biggest division, the mostly online Kaplan University, the default rate tracked by the Education Department jumped between 2006 and 2008, from 9.5 percent to 17.2 percent. Put another way, more than one in six former Kaplan students had started missing payments within two years.
Kaplan executives say the rising rate tracked the growth in student enrollment and was a function of catering to lower-income people. Also, they say, the surge in new students produced more defaults because students are more likely to drop out early in their educations. Kaplan says that its students are older and that 40 percent are single parents, risk factors that make graduation less likely. The company says it gives these higher-risk students access to learning they would not have otherwise. Moreover, it says, that after adjusting for risk factors, Kaplan’s students graduate at twice the national average of all higher-education institutions.
Barmak Nassirian, a spokesman for the American Association of Collegiate Registrars and Admissions Officers, says that having low-income students is no excuse.
“If there is a population that is more likely to default — low income — the last thing you want to do is saddle them with crushing lifelong debt,” he says.
With the election of Democrat Barack Obama to the presidency, a new team landed at the Education Department, one that took a skeptical view of the for-profit sector.
Obama’s deputy undersecretary for education, Robert Shireman, had been president of the Institute for College Access and Success, an education-industry watchdog group. He co-authored a paper in 2004 asserting that student-loan companies exploited loopholes to tap more federal funds.
The day Shireman was appointed in 2009, a stock index tracking education companies dropped 6.9 percent. (When he left his post last May, the index rose 7.4 percent.)
The new education secretary shared his concerns. “While career colleges play a vital role in training our workforce to be globally competitive, some of them are saddling students with debt they cannot afford in exchange for degrees and certificates they cannot use,” Arne Duncan said last year.
Government officials proposed 14 rules they hope will protect students from misleading recruiting practices. One of the rules, for instance, would require schools to provide prospective students with graduation and placement rates. Thirteen rules have been finalized and go into effect July 1.
The remaining one — known as “gainful employment — would cut off federal aid to individual school programs in which graduates carry a high level of debt relative to their income. The impact on the for-profit industry and Kaplan would be sharp and could affect students seeking jobs with low expected starting salaries, such as chefs and medical assistants.
Such efforts resonated with another powerful, if fickle, constituency: Wall Street. For years, investors in for-profit schools had benefited from rising share prices on the back of free-flowing government money. Now, some big investors sensed a shift. Short sellers — who make money when firms get in trouble and lose value — seized on an opportunity.
Steve Eisman, a central character of “The Big Short,” Michael Lewis’s book about investors who anticipated the collapse of the housing bubble, produced a report, “Subprime Goes to College,” in May that was widely e-mailed among Wall Street investors.
His argument was this: Firms in the education business, like mortgage origination companies, had urged lower-income people to take out loans they might have trouble handling. By the time these students defaulted, the education companies had already walked off with profits, leaving taxpayers to pick up the tab. And there was a social cost: Unlike homeowners who can walk away from mortgages if they declare personal bankruptcy, students must repay federal loans.
With hundreds of millions of dollars at stake, short sellers have employed their own researchers to dig into companies and have offered this material to journalists, legislators and the administration.
Investors were hoping the government would tighten the spigot, a move that would jolt the entire for-profit education sector while leading to a big payday for the shorts. Today, investors have sold short — in essence, bet against — shares equal to about one-tenth of The Post Co.’s outstanding stock, about 3.8 percent of Apollo’s and 31.3 percent of Corinthian’s, according to investment Web sites.
Eisman declined to comment.
In June, he testified before the Senate Committee on Health, Education, Labor and Pensions, whose chairman, Sen. Tom Harkin (D-Iowa), led the chorus of critics.
‘Tomorrow’s never promised’
The spotlight on the industry — and Kaplan — grew hot.
In August, the Government Accountability Office released a report about misleading sales tactics at for-profit colleges. Investigators armed with hidden cameras posed as applicants at 15 schools — including Kaplan campuses.
In a video shot in Pembroke Pines, Fla., a campus that opened in January 2010, one recruiter dismisses an applicant’s concern about repaying the loans, even though defaulting can destroy a person’s credit score.
“I owe $85,000 to the University of Florida. Will I pay it back?” the recruiter says. “Probably not. I look at life a little differently from most people. I look at life as, ‘Tomorrow’s never promised.’ ”
Kaplan and The Post Co. immediately distanced themselves.
“What happened at Pembroke Pines was just awful,” Rosen said. Graham has described the findings as “sickening.”
After the GAO released its report, Kaplan halted recruiting at the campus. It offered full tuition rebates and $18 an hour for time spent in the programs there if students felt duped. Of the 130 students there, 30 took the offer.
Kaplan also brought in outside accountants to audit internal practices, including training manuals, Rosen said. Within days of the report, Kaplan began conducting its own “mystery shopping” to monitor what employees say to prospective students. Rosen said it has led to “some personnel actions,” including firings, suspensions and re-training.
“I wish we had done it five years ago,” Rosen said.
As quickly as Kaplan’s management tried to put out fires, others broke out.
In October, the Florida attorney general launched an investigation into Kaplan and four other for-profit colleges after the GAO report and complaints from consumers.
Veterans groups also criticized Kaplan and other for-profits for aggressively recruiting former service members, in part because loans from the Department of Veterans Affairs do not count toward the 90 percent ceiling on those that can be obtained from the Education Department. A Bloomberg News report unearthed one manual used in 2009 that urged recruiters to use “FUD” — fear, uncertainty and doubt — to convince prospects to sign up within 48 hours. Kaplan says the material has not been used since the summer of 2010.
Former employees weighed in, too. Four have filed whistleblower lawsuits, accusing the company of breaking the law to recruit more students. Kaplan says the charges are baseless.
Post Co. executives acknowledge that the confluence of events created a demoralizing crisis for Kaplan. Executives there insist the problems are not the norm but the rare exception.
“I don’t believe we’re running an unethical company,” said Jeff Conlon, chief executive of Kaplan’s higher-education unit. “I’ve been with Kaplan 18 years, and in that time I’ve been surrounded by co-workers, peers, staff and executives who firmly believe that doing things right for the students is the best way to long-term success.”
This year promises more scrutiny. In February, Harkin’s Senate committee released more industry marketing materials, including another Kaplan document that advised recruiters to play on students’ fears. Kaplan says the document was dropped after a month, but Harkin and other critics say the marketing manuals suggest that unsavory practices were part of a broader strategy.
Graham noted that the committee subpoenaed “millions” of documents and uncovered few problems. He added, however: “Shame on us. We shouldn’t have been recruiting students that way.”
An overhaul
Graham attributes the problems to a few bad apples. Even so, the company’s response was systemic.
Late last year, Kaplan unveiled Kaplan Commitment, the centerpiece of its response to its public-image and regulatory challenges. The program allows students to take classes for about a month and then withdraw without owing anything. This, Kaplan says, should satisfy critics who accuse it of misleading students. If in place last year, The Post Co. said, the program would have slashed revenue by $140 million, much of that directly out of profit.
The program is also designed to halt the rising loan default rates among former Kaplan students.
New rules on how the Education Department is measuring default rates are raising the bar as well. In 2012, the government will track students for three years rather than two. In February, the rate for Kaplan University came in at 30 percent, right at the proposed limit for eligibility — and higher than the for-profit and nonprofit industry averages.
The Education Department has also proposed suspending loan eligibility at schools where fewer than 35 percent of former students are paying down any of their loan principal. Kaplan’s loan repayment rates — averaging 28 percent — are on par with or worse than much smaller institutions including the Academy of Somatic Healing Arts, Roger’s Academy of Hair Design and Zane State College.
The reason, Kaplan executives repeat, is the makeup of their student population.
The average amount of default, they add, is also fairly low for those who drop out — about $4,500; for those who graduate, it’s $7,700. In complying with tighter government regulations, Graham said, “we are slamming our doors in the face of people who need this.”
Just as big a danger, however, is the company’s near-total reliance on Title IV. In 2010, Kaplan University reported that 91.7 percent of its revenue came from Title IV loans, higher than the 90 percent ceiling. (The industry leader, Apollo, has almost identical figures.)
Kaplan avoided exceeding federal limits only because of “temporary relief” provided by 2008 legislation, according to an SEC filing. The figure would have been slightly higher, except The Post Co. itself lent $18 million to students. Initially it charged them a 15 percent interest rate, according to congressional investigators. The Post Co. said that in the summer of 2010 it cut the rate to 6.8 percent for new and existing loans.
A continuing education
The policy fight has taken on a personal dimension for Graham, who cares deeply about education. For 13 years he has led an organization to expand opportunities for District students. A self-portrait by a Duke Ellington High School graduate adorns his office. He can cite from memory statistics about graduation rates at the District’s public schools.
Graham has taken part in a fierce lobbying campaign by the for-profit education industry. He has visited key members of Congress, written an op-ed article for the Wall Street Journal and hired for The Post Co. high-powered lobbying firms including Akin Gump and Elmendorf Ryan, at a cost of $810,000 in 2010. The Post has also published an editorial opposing the new federal rules, while disclosing the interests of its parent company.
One person sent by The Post Co. in the late 1980s to scout for higher education companies to buy — he recommended against making any acquisitions — said the idea was “to avoid these types of conflicts.”
But Graham sees no conflict between his public rallying for Kaplan and the mission of the newspaper he inherited. He says he’s defending Kaplan just as his company — and his mother, Katharine Graham — went to bat for the newspaper when it pursued the Watergate scandal or printed the Pentagon Papers, the top-secret history of the Vietnam War.
And the fate of The Post Co. has become inextricably linked with that of Kaplan, where revenue climbed to $2.9 billion in 2010, 61 percent of The Post Co.’s total. (Meanwhile, the original test prep business is losing money and closing centers.)
“The company is more dependent than ever on a single business,” Graham wrote in last year’s annual report, adding that the newspaper had never accounted for as large a share of overall company revenue as Kaplan does today. “This new order of things suggests that shareholders are looking at a different set of realities,” Graham said.
Some of those realities have been painfully evident. Analysts looking at Kaplan and The Post Co. from the outside say the reasons lie within.
“The incentives at the ground level are extraordinarily high to enroll as many students as possible irrespective of the outcome,” said Bradley Safalow, chief executive of PAA Research, a stock analysis firm. “The primary issue for The Washington Post appears to have been a lack of steadfast oversight. They have to make drastic changes. The company’s going to shrink for a few years here, at least.”
Kaplan and The Post Co. aren’t waiting to find out what the Education Department does next.
In December, the company’s higher-education division laid off 770 workers, or 5 percent of its workforce. It is pivoting away from the company’s traditional focus on serving poor students. New Kaplan students (or their families) will probably have more income and greater interest in earning a master’s degree than a dental-hygienist certificate.
There will be fewer students, too. The Post Co.’s Kaplan education division reported a 47 percent plunge in new enrollments for the fourth quarter.
“The Kaplan story has been one of reinvention over time,” Rosen said. “The return is five, eight, 10 years out. . . . We’re not just a company trying to make next year’s numbers.”
Despite the slowdown, Kaplan remains the largest part of The Post Co.’s business. Its operating income in 2010 was up 70 percent, to $330.9 million, compared with 2009. But its profits will fall steeply and abruptly this year.
“If we were guilty of anything, it was excessive optimism,” one senior Post executive said of Kaplan. “Did they sail too close to the wind? I think the wind was just blowing so incredibly strongly in their direction.”
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