July 2013 Car Sales: A Case Of Case-Shiller?

Summer's culturestall couldn't take the edge off strong car sales, at least at the biggest brands.

Car sales in July stayed aloft, as each of the Big Six posted double-digit gains, and as the overall sales rate hovered near the 16-million mark.

Strong sales increases were reported by General Motors, Ford, and Chrysler, as well as Toyota and Nissan, with trucks and compact cars booming in tandem with a revival in housing starts and prices.

Among the highlights in July's numbers: Toyota was up 16.5 percent, and GM rose 16.3 percent; Ford, Chrysler, and Nissan rose by about 11 percent each; but Volkswagen was off 3.3 percent.

Full-size trucks continued their dominance on the sales charts, with each of the four best-selling pickups posting sales increases on the month.

The GMC Sierra, new for the 2014 model year, led the pack with a 49-percent gain, but Chevrolet's Silverado--also new, and nearly identical to the GMC pickup--posted its own 45-percent gain. Chrysler's Ram 1500 wasn't far off that pace with a 31-percent increase. The perennial truck leader wasn't left out: Ford sold 22 percent more F-Series trucks in July than in the same period a year ago, despite now having the oldest product among the domestics. (A new F-150 is expected in 2015.)

Rates remain (pretty) low

Car sales have yet to be affected by the slow upward drift in prices or interest rates on car and home loans. The average transaction price for a new car in July was $31,795, according to Kelly Blue Book, up a half-percent or $148 from June, and up 2 percent or $620 from the same period a year ago.

As for those low rates--a big driver of car sales since the recession ended--they don't appear to have a clear end in sight, KBB analyst Karl Brauer told The Car Connection.

“[Rates] have finally moved up, but are still at near-historic lows," Brauer said. "The upswing is so recent that we haven't yet seen the real impact."

According to Bankrate.com, the national-average 48-month new-car loan is now 2.64 percent.

Meanwhile, the average 30-year mortgage rate crept up to 4.39 percent this week, as economists reported that housing prices in May had grown by more than any time since 2006. The latest Case-Shiller index paralleled the sales figures of some automakers, which reported their best sales since the stall that foreshadowed the 2007-2008 auto-industry depression.

Coincidence, or not? With all the official numbers in, these sales figures have been tallied for the month of July:

General Motors: GM [NYSE:GM] sold 234,071 vehicles in July, up 16 percent compared with a year ago. All four GM brands were up on the month: Cadillac sales rose 16.7 percent to 15,672 units; Buick sales were up 13.9 percent to 16,393 vehicles; GMC sold 39,356 vehicles, up 14.1 percent;  and Chevrolet was up 17.1 percent to 162,670 units. Among the big movers, the Cadillac CTS was off 39 percent as it approaches a major model change; the same was true for the Corvette, down 32 percent. On the upside, the Chevy Spark watched its sales climb 164 percent, while the GMC Sierra got a 49-percent lift.

Ford: Ford Motor Co. [NYSE:F] sold 193,715 vehicles in July, an increase of 11.4 percent over the same period in 2012. The Ford division accounted for 186,796 of those sales, up 11.9 percent, while Lincoln tallied 6,919 sales, off 0.8 percent. The F-Series trucks were up strongly--22 percent, to 60,449 units, and the Fiesta logged an 88.9-percent increase, to 7,667 units sold. However, the Fusion was off 12 percent to 20,522 vehicles, and the Mustang was off 21.7 percent to 5,768 units.

Toyota / Lexus / Scion: Toyota says it sold 193,394 vehicles in July, up more than 16.5 percent on the month. The 173,063 sales of Toyota vehicles represented an 11.5-percent gain; Lexus was up 23,031 units, or 21.2 percent. Scion sales of 6,261 units were off 9.3 percent.

Honda / Acura: Honda reported July sales of 141,439 vehicles, up 20.9 percent over the year-ago period, with Honda-brand vehicles accounting for 126,289 units. Honda-brand sales were up 21.3 percent; Acura sales, at 15,150 units, rose 18.1 percent. Both the Accord and Civic topped 30,000 sales in July.

Chrysler: Chrysler says its July sales of 140,102 units represented an 11-percent increase over the same period in 2012. The Chrysler brand sold 19,978 vehicles, off 4 percent, but all other brands were up; Fiat sold 3,783 units, up 2 percent; Jeep's 42,277 sales were up by the same percentage. Dodge sold 41,986 vehicles for an 18-percent gain, while Ram led the group with a 31-percent boost on 32,078 units sold. Dodge Durango sales were up by 88 percent, and Ram pickup sales rose 31 percent, but Fiat 500 sales were down 24 percent and Chrysler 200 sales dropped 13 percent.

Nissan / Infiniti: Nissan reports it sold 109,041 vehicles in July, an increase of 10.9 percent for a new July record. The Nissan brand recorded 101,279 of those sales, up 16.8 percent, while Infiniti was off 33.2 percent at 7,762 units sold--as it transitions from G37 to 2014 Q50 sales. Nissan sold 29,534 Altima sedans and coupes in July, up 11 percent; the Leaf electric car posted 1,864 sales, up 372 percent.

Hyundai: Via Twitter, Hyundai's U.S. CEO John Krafcik reported the Korean automaker had its "Best-ever July sales (66,005, +6%) led by US-built Santa Fe (+48%), Elantra (+29%)."

Kia: Kia sold 49,004 vehicles in July, up 1.9 percent for its best July ever.

Subaru: With 35,994 vehicles sold in July, Subaru sales rose 43 percent over July 2012, passing Volkswagen for the first time in recent memory. Subaru sold 9,841 Forester wagons, up 52 percent over July 2012.

Volkswagen: VW sold 35,779 vehicles in July, down 3.3 percent from July 2012 and off 1.3 percent from its 2012 pace. At 10,051 units, the Passat was up 3.3 percent, but the Jetta sedan was off 2.2 percent to 13,388 units.

BMW / MINI: BMW and MINI reported combined sales of 29,993 vehicles in July, up 10.5 percent from the year-ago period. On the year the brands are up 9.2 percent. BMW sales rose 12.9 percent to 24,043 units, while MINI was up to 5,950 vehicles, up 1.6 percent.

Mazda: Mazda reports it sold 24,977 vehicles in July, up 29.4 percent on the month, 4.2 percent on the year.

Audi: Audi says it sold 13,064 vehicles in July, up 11.6 percent over the year prior for its best July ever, and for its 31st record month in a row. For the year, sales are up 13.6 percent, to 87,341 vehicles.

Volvo: Volvo reported 5,909 sales in July, up 3.4 percent month-over-month. Year-to-date sales are down 4.6 percent, Volvo said, through the first seven months of 2012.

Jaguar / Land Rover: With Jaguar sales up 60 percent to 1,613 units, and Land Rover's numbers up 22 percent to 4,050 units in July, the combined brands posted a 31-percent increase over the same period a year prior. Year-to-date, Jaguar Land Rover is up 15 percent.

Porsche: Porsche sold 3,820 vehicles in July, up 36 percent over July 2012. On the year, the brand is up to 25,129 vehicles, 31 percent higher than in 2012. 

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