But getting back to the "savings" proposed in the Tesla calculator
If you don't live in one of the states that offer incentives for EV ownership on top of the Federal $7,500 credit, you won't be saving any money--you'll in fact be adding $17 per month back onto the Model S's cost. Tesla's calculator doesn't even begin to cover the complexity of state-by-state EV incentives and eligibility requirements.
Next, the cost of electricity versus gasoline. Tesla conveniently gives the national average cost of electricity ($0.11 per kWh), though actual cost varies widely by region and by season--even by time of day. But instead of national averages for premium gas prices, it lists an arbitrary average of $5 per gallon over three years.
According to AAA, today's average price for premium gas is $3.958. A year ago, it was $4.197. It could conceivably rise in the future (it has done it before) but the $5 figure as a three-year average is perhaps a bit pessimistic for those not living in California or the Northeast.
Adjusting the average premium gas price back down to $4.25 per gallon reduces the monthly "savings" of financing a Model S by another $50.
But that's at 19 mpg combined average gas mileage. A 2013 BMW 550i averages 20 mpg; a 2013 Mercedes-Benz S550 averages 19 mpg. Perhaps the Tesla estimate is fair enough, especially considering the Model S's relative performance. It's worth noting, however, that the 550i manages 333 miles on a tank of gas at EPA ratings, and the S550 manages 407 miles--and both can be refueled just about anywhere, in minutes.
The third item on the monthly Model S savings list is $227 per month in tax deductions for using the car for your business. We're talking about sales to private buyers here, so we're writing this one off as completely bogus. Add $227 back to the monthly cost of the Model S.
Finally, there's a savings of $100 per month for not spending 15 minutes at the gas station four times per month, valuing your time at $100 per hour. If that's what your time is worth, you're making about $200,000 per year. Why aren't you buying this Model S in cash?
At a more realistic $50 per hour, add $50 back to the monthly payment.
Working these adjustments back into the originally claimed $543 monthly "effective cost" of the Model S, you arrive at the much more realistic (yet still forgiving) figure of $887 per month.
And just to include the 60-kWh car for completeness' sake, that would work out to about $764 per month effective, and $1,051 per month raw. Still nowhere near $500 per month. If you expect to spend time charging your Model S while on the road rather than at home or work, add another $50 per hour you do so.
So what's really going on here?
Even at $887 per month, "effective cost", the Tesla Model S with the 85 kWh battery pack is a pretty impressive deal. Leasing or financing a competitive BMW or Mercedes will cost you about $800-$1,100 per month.
So why does Tesla feel the need to attempt to deceive people with its $543 per month ideal scenario? Perhaps the need arises from the same place that saw the brand hawk a 40-kWh model at a price of $49,900-$52,400 for a couple of years before deciding it would be unprofitable to build.
Tesla's continual insistence (including on its retail website) on listing prices after incentives is its own problem. Green Car Reports has explained why that's a deceptive practice.
As much as we love the Tesla Model S, and trust us, we do--it's a hoot to drive, gorgeous to look at, and surprisingly practical--we just can't help feeling like Tesla is out to pull the wool over our eyes at every opportunity.
And that makes us nervous.
Green Car Reports editor John Voelcker contributed to this report.
(c) 2013, High Gear Media.