Typical. I got only four out of 10 correct. The one good pick worth a brag was my forecast 10 months before Election Day that both President Obama and then-Senate candidate Tim Kaine would win in Virginia.
(Global warming rendered moot my prediction about whether the federal government’s new snow closing guidelines would be effective. We didn’t have a big enough snowstorm to find out.)
Here, for the fourth year, is an array of predictions about the Washington region. My choices for 2013 are at the end. As always, credit for the quiz format goes to the late New York Times columnist William Safire.
In the District, U.S. Attorney Ron Machen’s investigation into Mayor Vince Gray’s 2010 campaign will result in:
a. Gray’s resignation in the face of criminal charges. The mayor bows out, as several former associates agree to testify against him in plea agreements with Machen.
b. Gray’s vindication. Machen admits sheepishly that there’s no evidence the mayor was involved in the campaign’s crookedness. (Three people have pleaded guilty.) The mayor’s 2014 reelection campaign slogan: “I told you so.”
c. Gray is indicted but defiantly remains in office to fight the charges at trial. The ensuing court contest paralyzes city business and attracts worldwide attention.
d. The sorry affair muddles forward without conclusion. D.C. power brokers quietly urge the Justice Department to force Machen to bring charges or give up.
2. The winner of Virginia’s gubernatorial election in November will be:
a. Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli (R). He moves to the center for the campaign and successfully paints opponent Terry McAuliffe (D) as lacking either Virginia roots or governing experience.
b. McAuliffe, a businessman and former Democratic National Committee chairman. He uses the Obama campaign database to gin up liberal turnout and stresses Cuccinelli’s record as a hero to extremists in the tea party and religious right.
c. Lt. Gov. Bill Bolling (R). He jumps in as an independent and transforms state politics by assembling a winning coalition of moderates unhappy with both Cuccinelli and McAuliffe.
3. Polishing his legacy in his second-to-last legislative session, Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley successfully pushes through:
a. Offshore wind power.
b. A gasoline tax increase to help pay for the Purple Line (finally).
c. An assault weapons ban.
d. Repeal of the death penalty.
e. (a) and (c).
f. (b) and (d).
4. In Richmond, the General Assembly decision on whether to confirm the reappointment of University of Virginia Rector Helen Dragas — despite her unsuccessful effort to oust U-Va. President Teresa Sullivan — will be: