Yoenis Cespedes could see a power surge after trade


(Photo by Jason O. Watson/Getty Images)

Yoenis Cespedes gets a change of scenery after the Oakland Athletics sent him to Boston to complete the Jon Lester deal. And the scenery could be the most significant part of the trade.

Oakland plays in one of the most pitcher-friendly parks in the majors, and is not all that conducive to home runs by right-handed hitters such as Cespedes.  Fenway Park, on the other hand, is, and Cespedes could see a spike in his power numbers.

Cespedes has hit 17 home runs this season: Eight to left field, five to center and four to right.


Yoeni Cespedes Home Runs, 2014 (Source: ESPN)

Eleven of the 17 have been at O.co Park. However, he would have had as many as seven more if he played his home games at Fenway. Below are the landing spots of his hits at O.co overlayed at Fenway, and, as you can see, four flyouts (orange dots) in Oakland would have left the yard at Fenway and three doubles (light blue) have a chance at also becoming home runs.

Cespedees balls in play, 2014 (Source: katron.org)
Cespedees balls in play, 2014 (Source: katron.org)

The latest ZiPs projections have Cespedes hitting for a 0.260 batting average with a 0.315 on-base percentage and 0.457 slugging to go along with nine homer runs and 20 total extra-base hits. With 27 games to play at Fenway this season, those may be a tad pessimistic.

Neil Greenberg analyzes advanced sports statistics for the Fancy Stats blog and prefers to be called a geek rather than a nerd.
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