Expect a photo finish for the NL batting title between Justin Morneau and Ben Revere


(Photo by Justin Edmonds/Getty Images)

The race for the National League batting title between Justin Morneau and Ben Revere is too close to call.

If that gap holds, it would be the narrowest margin in the NL since Albert Pujols (0.3587) beat Todd Helton (0.3585) for the batting crown in 2003.

According to the ZiPS projections for the rest of the season, Revere is expected to have 31 hits over the next 104 at bats (0.299 average), which would see him finish at 0.31119 for the year. Morneau is expected to go 27 for 91 (0.313) and finish slightly ahead of Revere at 0.31124.

If we use the Steamer projections for the rest of the season, then the race sees Morneau at 0.3098 and Revere 0.3093.

It’s going to be close.

Neil Greenberg analyzes advanced sports statistics for the Fancy Stats blog and prefers to be called a geek rather than a nerd.
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