CNN poll gives Obama six-point lead

A new CNN/ORC poll has President Obama leading Mitt Romney 52 percent to 46 percent among likely voters. That's a dramatic shift from the news organization's poll a week ago, which had the two candidates tied at 48 percent.

Obama generally struggles more in polls of likely voters than surveys of registered voters. In the last CNN/ORC poll, Republicans were more enthusiastic than Democrats about voting; now both parties are about equal in their enthusiasm. But independents lean towards Romney by 14 points. 

In a memo Monday morning, Romney pollster Neil Newhouse argued that surveys showing Obama leading Romney can be attributed to a convention bounce, a "sugar high" that will fade. Convention bounces are often short-lived; polling right after conventions is volatile. But Nate Silver has suggested that the shift towards Obama could last through the election. 

The CNN/ORC poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

Rachel Weiner covers local politics for The Washington Post.

politics

post-politics

Success! Check your inbox for details. You might also like:

Please enter a valid email address

See all newsletters

Comments
Show Comments
Most Read Politics

politics

post-politics

Success! Check your inbox for details.

See all newsletters

Next Story
Rachel Weiner · September 10, 2012

To keep reading, please enter your email address.

You’ll also receive from The Washington Post:
  • A free 6-week digital subscription
  • Our daily newsletter in your inbox

Please enter a valid email address

I have read and agree to the Terms of Service and Privacy Policy.

Please indicate agreement.

Thank you.

Check your inbox. We’ve sent an email explaining how to set up an account and activate your free digital subscription.