The swing state weather forecast

The Capital Weather Gang has posted their Election Day forecast. Like everything else in the run-up to election day, it's focused on states that could determine the next commander-in-chief.

Mildly inclement weather could affect two key swing states in the Presidential race:

* Intermittent, scattered showers and a few thundershowers could fall in the northern half of Florida, but widespread heavy rain is not likely.

* Mainly light rain showers are likely in Wisconsin, which may mix with snow in the northern part of the state. Snow accumulation is not expected.

While a nuisance, weather conditions in these states are unlikely to markedly deter voters. As such, weather on Election Day probably won’t have a meaningful effect on voter turnout and key races.

Turnout is expected to be lower in areas hit hard by Hurricane Sandy, as CWG notes, though weather on Election Day in those places is expected to be calm. Three competitive House districts were badly damaged by the storm, with lower turnout likely: New York's 1st district, held by Rep.Tim Bishop (D); New York’s 11th district, held by Rep. Michael Grimm (R); and New Jersey’s 3rd district, held by Rep. Jon Runyan (R).

A fun fact from CWG's post: Weather considerations are partially to thank for the election being held in early November: It was set after harvest season, before winter storms, to accommodate farm workers who had to trek to far-flung polling places.

Natalie Jennings is a Web producer for PostTV.

politics

post-politics

Success! Check your inbox for details. You might also like:

Please enter a valid email address

See all newsletters

Comments
Show Comments
Most Read Politics

politics

post-politics

Success! Check your inbox for details.

See all newsletters

Next Story
Rachel Weiner · November 5, 2012

To keep reading, please enter your email address.

You’ll also receive from The Washington Post:
  • A free 6-week digital subscription
  • Our daily newsletter in your inbox

Please enter a valid email address

I have read and agree to the Terms of Service and Privacy Policy.

Please indicate agreement.

Thank you.

Check your inbox. We’ve sent an email explaining how to set up an account and activate your free digital subscription.