The Washington Post

Polls shows GOP up big in Montana, narrowly behind in Iowa, N.H., Michigan

WASHINGTON, DC-JUNE 11: Congressman Steve Daines (R-MTO) at a dinner party in honor of new Japanese Ambassador to the U.S., Kenichiro Sasae and his wife, Nobuko. The evening was hosted by the captivating Roy Pfautch, long-time friend of the new Ambassador and international consulatant, and was held at the Willard Hotel Tuesday June 11, 2013 in Washington DC. (Photo by Rebecca D'Angelo For the Washington Post) The poll shows Rep. Steve Daines (R) leading Sen. John Walsh (D) in the Senate race in Montana. (Rebecca D'Angelo for The Washington Post)

Five new polls conducted for a group that supports the construction of the Keystone XL pipeline show Republicans with a big lead in the open Montana Senate race and knocking at the door but still trailing in open-seat races in Iowa and Michigan.

The surveys, from Democratic pollster Hickman Analytics, show Rep. Steve Daines (R) with a 49-37 lead over appointed Sen. John Walsh (D) in the Montana race. They also show the GOP down between one and six points in the other three states.

In Iowa, Rep. Bruce Braley (D) leads business Mark Jacobs (R) 43-42 and state Sen. Joni Ernst (R) 44-40.

In Michigan, Rep. Gary Peters (D) leads former secretary of state Terri Lynn Land (R) 42-37.

In New Hampshire, Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D-N.H.) leads former Massachusetts senator Scott Brown (R) 49-43.

Iowa and Michigan, in particular, have emerged as top GOP targets as the national environment has become slightly more favorable to the GOP.

In the fifth poll conducted, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) narrowly leads Kentucky Secretary of State Alison Lundergan Grimes 46-45. Basically every poll has shown the Kentucky Senate race to be a virtual tie.

Previous surveys from the same pollster for the same group,, showed tight races in North Carolina and Arkansas, with the GOP slightly ahead in Louisiana.

Aaron Blake covers national politics and writes regularly for The Fix.



Success! Check your inbox for details. You might also like:

Please enter a valid email address

See all newsletters

Show Comments
Most Read



Success! Check your inbox for details.

See all newsletters

Your Three. Videos curated for you.
Play Videos
What can babies teach students?
Unconventional warfare with a side of ale
A veteran finds healing on a dog sled
Play Videos
A fighter pilot helmet with 360 degrees of sky
Is fencing the answer to brain health?
Scenes from Brazil's Carajás Railway
Play Videos
How a hacker group came to Washington
The woman behind the Nats’ presidents ‘Star Wars’ makeover
How hackers can control your car from miles away
Play Videos
Philadelphia's real signature sandwich
Full disclosure: 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, 1 ghoul
Europe's migrant crisis, explained
Next Story
Sean Sullivan · May 7, 2014

To keep reading, please enter your email address.

You’ll also receive from The Washington Post:
  • A free 6-week digital subscription
  • Our daily newsletter in your inbox

Please enter a valid email address

I have read and agree to the Terms of Service and Privacy Policy.

Please indicate agreement.

Thank you.

Check your inbox. We’ve sent an email explaining how to set up an account and activate your free digital subscription.