Fantasy Football RB draft tiers: Adrian Peterson still elite

July 31, 2014

We’ve seen Adrian Peterson stiff-arm the competition for the top spot before. Who doubts his ability to do it again? (Ann Heisenfelt/Associated Press)

As a tool for fantasy drafts, players can be grouped together in tiers of similar projected fantasy production.  Tiers can help a drafter decide how to choose between players at different positions; if a given player is the last one left in a higher tier, an owner may choose to select him over another player at a position with several players of comparable value left on the board.

Positional Rankings: Top 30 QBs | RBs | WRs | TEs | Ks | DEF

Draft Talent Tiers: QBs | RBs | WRs | TEs

Fancy Stats Value Players: QBs | RBs | WRs | TEs

To create our tiers, we are using Gene Wang’s top 30 RBs. Scoring figures and ADP are for standard settings and are courtesy of Fantasy Pros.

TIER 1

Jamaal Charles, Kansas City Chiefs

LeSean McCoy, Philadelphia Eagles

Adrian Peterson, Minnesota Vikings

Yes, nearly every fantasy draft has either Charles or McCoy going No. 1, but Peterson remains a legitimate candidate for that honor. He’s older than the other two, but no one thinks he’s slowing down, to judge from his No. 3 overall average draft position. Peterson rebounded from a devastating knee injury to go bonkers in 2012; does anyone really doubt he could vastly improve on 2013′s finish as the No. 6 RB?

TIER 2

Marshawn Lynch, Seattle Seahawks

Matt Forte, Chicago Bears

Alfred Morris, Washington Redskins

Eddie Lacy, Green Bay Packers

These backs should stay in or awfully near the first round of standard-scoring drafts. Lynch is currently holding out from training camp, but missing those reps shouldn’t be a big problem for the seven-year veteran (provided he reports at some point in August). A coaching change in Washington adds some uncertainty to Morris’s role, but it’s hard to imagine Jay Gruden won’t find a major use for his 4.7 yards per carry.

TIER 3

Frank Gore, San Francisco 49ers

Le’Veon Bell, Pittsburgh Steelers

Zac Stacy, St. Louis Rams

DeMarco Murray, Dallas Cowboys

Montee Ball, Denver Broncos.

The rest of the likely RB1 performers. The Niners added Carlos Hyde but lost Kendall Wright to injury, meaning Gore should continue to get plenty of carries. Bell and Stacy took command of their teams’ backfields as rookies and now have the promise of improved offensive lines. Murray and Ball probably have the best chances to become top-three overall picks in 2015. Murray needs to steer clear of injuries and Ball may just need to hope Peyton Manning does the same.

TIER 4

Reggie Bush, Detroit Lions

Ryan Mathews, San Diego Chargers

Doug Martin, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Arian Foster, Houston Texans

Giovani Bernard, Cincinnati Bengals

C.J. Spiller, Buffalo Bills

Ben Tate, Cleveland Browns

Toby Gerhart, Jacksonville Jaguars

Andre Ellington, Arizona Cardinals

An assortment of question marks keeps all of these talented players in this group. Bush, Martin, Bernard and Spiller all may not get as many touches as their owners would like. Foster and Gerhart should get all the work they can handle, but can they handle it? Tate and Ellington have to take advantage of opportunities to assume dominant roles.

TIER 5

Trent Richardson, Indianapolis Colts

Steven Jackson, Atlanta Falcons

Stevan Ridley, New England Patriots

Ray Rice, Baltimore Ravens

Chris Johnson, New York Jets

Bishop Sankey, Tennessee Titans

Rashad Jennings, New York Giants

Shane Vereen, New England Patriots

Maurice Jones-Drew, Oakland Raiders

Fantasy owners are probably pushing their luck if they wait until this group to select their RB2s. No one is quite sure what to expect from Richardson, who appears to have a ton of talent, except when he actually tries to play football. Ridley could ascend to RB1 status if he could hang onto the ball, and Sankey could come close if he can help the Titans consistently move the chains. Rice (suspended for the first two games), Johnson and Jennings are on teams that will probably use them as the heads of committees. Jackson and Jones-Drew simply need to prove they are not, in fact, washed up.

This former editor and part-time writer at The Post is now happy to prove that if you combine 'blowhard' and 'blaggard,' you get 'blogger.' He previously had used 'Desmond Bieler' as his byline, but feels that shortening the first name to 'Des' nicely conveys his ever-decreasing gravitas. He also covers Fantasy Football.
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Des Bieler · July 31, 2014