The Washington Post

The Fix’s Senate race ratings map is here!

With just more than two months left in the 2012 election and the two parties' conventions ramping up, all eyes are on the presidential race.

But there's also a very important and very contentious race for the majority of the Senate in full swing -- the latest development being Rep. Todd Akin's (R-Mo.) implosion in Missouri.

With that in mind, today we are launching our new interactive Senate map, rating each race according to which side is likely to win it.

With Democrats holding a 53-47 majority in the chamber (including independents who caucus with one party or the other), Republicans would need to gain a net of at least three seats -- four if they fail to win the presidency. And both sides have said it's about a 50-50 prospect.

On the map above, we list seven tossups: two Republican-held seats (Massachusetts and Nevada) and five Democratic-held seats (Montana, New Mexico, North Dakota, Virginia and Wisconsin).

Right now we rate Nebraska as a likely Republican pickup and Maine as leaning toward a Democratic pickup. Both feature retiring incumbents in states that lean toward the other party. In Maine, Angus King, the likely winner, is running as an independent but is widely expected to caucus with Democrats if/when he wins.

Beyond those toss ups, Democrats appear to have some hope of picking up seats in Arizona and Indiana, while Republicans have outside shots at stealing seats in two swing states -- Florida and Ohio -- and two other states -- Michigan and Missouri.

In the coming weeks, we will update these ratings as developments warrant and let you know every time a change is made.

Also make sure to check out all the tools available on our ratings page, including breaking states down by any number of factors including unemployment and demographics.

Aaron Blake covers national politics and writes regularly for The Fix.



Success! Check your inbox for details. You might also like:

Please enter a valid email address

See all newsletters

Show Comments
Most Read



Success! Check your inbox for details.

See all newsletters

Your Three. Videos curated for you.
Play Videos
Sleep advice you won't find in baby books
In defense of dads
Scenes from Brazil's Carajás Railway
Play Videos
For good coffee, sniff, slurp and spit
How to keep your child safe in the water
How your online data can get hijacked
Play Videos
How to avoid harmful chemicals in school supplies
Full disclosure: 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, 1 ghoul
How much can one woman eat?
Play Videos
What you need to know about Legionnaires' disease
How to get organized for back to school
Pandas, from birth to milk to mom
Next Story
Sean Sullivan · August 27, 2012

To keep reading, please enter your email address.

You’ll also receive from The Washington Post:
  • A free 6-week digital subscription
  • Our daily newsletter in your inbox

Please enter a valid email address

I have read and agree to the Terms of Service and Privacy Policy.

Please indicate agreement.

Thank you.

Check your inbox. We’ve sent an email explaining how to set up an account and activate your free digital subscription.