What are the chances of a government shutdown? Better than 50-50.

There's a 60 percent chance the government will shutdown for at least a few days at the of this month, according to budget expert Stan Collender.


Patrons walk through the National Gallery of Art in Washington, Friday, April 8, 2011, as Congress continues to debate in hopes of avoiding a government shutdown. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)

"A shutdown may be what the [GOP] leadership has to allow to show their tea party people they're willing to go to the wall," Collender said in an interview for Post TV's "In Play" this week.

Collender added that the chances of the debt ceiling not being raised are far smaller -- in the "10 to 20 percent range."

The full interview is below.  And make sure to follow Stan on Twitter to get smarter in these next six weeks.

Deadlines for the budget and raising the debt ceiling will coincide in a few weeks. And there's still sequestration and tax reform to deal with. Budget expert Stan Collender gives us his take on what he's calling #cliffgate. (The Washington Post)

Chris Cillizza writes “The Fix,” a politics blog for the Washington Post. He also covers the White House.

politics

the-fix

Success! Check your inbox for details. You might also like:

Please enter a valid email address

See all newsletters

Comments
Show Comments
Most Read Politics

politics

the-fix

Success! Check your inbox for details.

See all newsletters

Next Story
Chris Cillizza · September 14, 2013

To keep reading, please enter your email address.

You’ll also receive from The Washington Post:
  • A free 6-week digital subscription
  • Our daily newsletter in your inbox

Please enter a valid email address

I have read and agree to the Terms of Service and Privacy Policy.

Please indicate agreement.

Thank you.

Check your inbox. We’ve sent an email explaining how to set up an account and activate your free digital subscription.