November 4, 2012

In his Oct. 26 Metro article “On the roads, good reason not to love deer amour,” Ashley Halsey III wrote: “Picture yourself behind the wheel on a dark and shadowy night, watching the windshield wipers bat away the rain and wondering, ‘What are the odds I’m going to hit a deer?’ The answer would be one in 102 if you live in Virginia.”

Does not happen. Even on dark and shadowy nights when it is raining. If Halsey’s new math style of probability were true and the odds were 1 in every 102 trips, then pretty much everyone would have hit a deer within four months.

So what was he trying to say? According to State Farm, the source of Halsey’s data, one Virginia driver in 102 will hit a deer within a given year.

William Adams, Springfield