Iowa activists provide early perceptions of a potential Hillary Clinton presidential bid


Hillary Rodham Clinton speaks to supporters in Davenport, Iowa, during her 2008 presidential campaign. Some Democratic activists said they thought her campaign team came across as aloof. (Scott Olson/Getty Images)

Eleven Iowa Democratic activists had been talking about the state of the country, the politics of 2016 and a prospective presidential campaign by Hillary Rodham Clinton one recent night when they were asked two questions.

The first was whom they would invite to a dinner party if they could choose from among four prominent Democrats. Six picked President Obama. Two each named Vice President Biden and former president Bill Clinton. A lone woman said she would invite Hillary Clinton.

Next they were asked whom among that same group they would call first if they faced a family emergency. The response was overwhelming: Seven of the 11 wanted Clinton at their side.

Their answers crystallized nearly two hours of conversation and captured the range of Democratic sentiment about Clinton, whose possible candidacy is eagerly anticipated by people in her party. But a separate conversation with a smaller group of Republican activists highlighted the degree to which she remains a polarizing figure — though they acknowledged that she would be a more formidable candidate than last time.

During her 2008 campaign, no state frustrated Clinton more than Iowa, which launched Obama, then a senator from Illinois, and dealt her a demoralizing third-place finish.


Libby Slappey and husband Charles Crawley in Cedar Rapids, Iowa, on May 7. They were among the Democrats who offered their opinions of a potential Clinton campaign in 2016. (Dan Balz/The Washington Post)

Back then many Iowans thought Clinton and her national campaign team came across as aloof and presumptuous.

“They just left a bad taste in a lot of people’s mouth,” said Dale Todd, 57, a Democrat and developer of affordable housing. “The BlackBerry was more important than the contact with [people]. We would be sitting right here, and they would be working their BlackBerry, and you just felt like you weren’t getting through.”

“They were just going through the motions,” added Kay Hale, 62, a school-bus driver.

“It was like, ‘We’re here, and we can’t wait until we get out of here,’ ” Todd said.

Today, Iowa activists see Clinton through a new lens. Democrats, including those who backed Obama in 2008, are offering strong encouragement.

When Clinton ran the first time, Hale worried that she couldn’t “bring the country together” and backed then-Sen. Christopher J. Dodd (Conn.). Now she says of Clinton: “I think we’re ready for her. . . . I think she’s proved herself. She’s earned it.”

At the same time, these Democratic activists offered warnings, saying that Clinton must run a different kind of campaign and show a warmer side of her personality if she hopes to be successful.

“I think she’s going to have trouble with the middle class,” said Charles Crawley, 60, a technical writer. “She went to Wellesley College, Yale Law School, and from that point on she’s been in the upper class. She may have middle-class parents, but that was a long time ago.”

‘Time heals lots of wounds’

The observations in this article come from two sessions with Iowa activists. The first included 11 Democrats from Linn County, around Cedar Rapids. The second session was with six mostly establishment Republicans in suburban West Des Moines, part of Dallas County.

Their opinions and observations are their own, and are not meant to be a representation of the broader electorate or a scientific sample. But because these are among the most politically engaged Iowans, their views provide an early look at perceptions of Clinton in a state that brought her disappointment in 2008.

Of the 11 Democrats, two supported her then, while six backed Obama. But ask them today for a brief description of Clinton, and the responses are all positive: “Seasoned.” “Capable.” “Smart.” “Strong.” “Competent.” “Amazing.” “Intelligent.” “Experienced.” “Decisive.” “Tested.”

When Clinton ran in 2008, she had two big liabilities in Iowa. One was her 2002 vote authorizing President George W. Bush to go to war in Iraq, a vote she never truly recanted. The vote alienated the state’s liberal activists and put her at odds with Obama.

Among the Linn County Democrats, the Iraq issue has faded in importance. “I think some Democrats in Iowa may have put her in the penalty box eight years ago because of Iraq,” said Nate Willems, 34, a labor lawyer. “We’ve moved past that. . . . Time heals lots of wounds.”

On policy issues, these Democrats offered little to suggest that they fear that Clinton would be too hawkish for their tastes or that her economic ideas would be too centrist. Many expressed deep concerns about the growing divide between rich and poor in the country but said they believed she would share that concern, even if she did not use the type of fiery rhetoric associated with Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) and others.

The other problem was a perception that Clinton and her campaign entourage were aloof, distant and lacking a common touch. “Bad manners,” said Libby Slappey, 62, a fundraiser. That still concerned many of those around the table.

One after another expressed disgruntlement with the way Clinton and her team conducted themselves in 2007 and 2008. “People felt like her campaign thought they had a sense of entitlement because they were the Clintons,” said Gretchen Lawyer, 41, a teacher and Obama volunteer.

The consensus among this group was that the Obama campaign outhustled Clinton in Iowa. “She was left in the dust by the organization of the Obama campaign, and I truly believe it emanated from the top,” Slappey said. “I truly believe that Barack Obama said to the next level, ‘This is how I want my campaign to run,’ and that level said it to the next level. And it was a beautiful Amway kind of thing.”

Mike Robinson, 51, a registered nurse and former Linn County Democratic chairman, defended Clinton. “I found her to be very genial. I met her on a few different occasions. I was very depressed, disappointed, when she was portrayed otherwise. She’s very kind.”

‘Come here more than once’

These Democrats may eagerly await Clinton’s candidacy, but all had advice for her about how to run a different campaign in 2016 than she ran in 2008.

“Come shake our hands,” said Kathy Robinson, 51, a property manager who was a Clinton supporter in 2008 when she lived in Illinois. “Talk to us. Ask us our feelings, and ask our opinions. But come here more than once. Don’t ignore Iowa.”

Lawyer urged Clinton to “get in touch with regular people.” She noted that when Obama started out in Iowa, he and Michelle Obama were still paying off their student loans. “How long has it been since she [Clinton] was a normal person outside of public life?” she said, adding: “When was the last time she drove a car? I see that as a liability she needs to think about.”

Bret Nilles, 55, the current Linn County Democratic chairman and a finance manager, said Obama’s campaign was more open. “Hillary’s campaign was more controlled,” said Nilles, who backed her that year. “There was a sense that they were going to win it, so all they had to do was make the rounds.”

Laura Bell, 54, an accounts manager who supported then-Rep. Dennis J. Kucinich (Ohio) in 2008, said, “I would want to encourage her to remember that there are people in this party [whose] opinions are closer to Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren, and do not forget about us.”

Todd said that Clinton should “leave the consultants at home.” He recalled her first campaign: “When she would walk in the room and the entourage was larger than the group you’re meeting with, that didn’t go over well. But the reality is, these are the Clintons, and it’s going to be tough to do what we are sort of used to.”

Roy Porterfield, 63, an automotive service manager, defended Clinton against the perception that she holds herself above others. “She came from perfectly ordinary beginnings,” he said. “She didn’t grow up a Bush or a Rockefeller or whatever. I don’t think she’s lacking a common touch. . . . I see her as a perfectly good, solid, honest, ordinary citizen who just happens to have a brilliant mind and vast, useful political experience.”

‘There’s a trust issue’

The Republicans from Dallas County see Clinton as the inevitable Democratic nominee and as a worthy opponent who has bolstered her résumé since her first campaign for the White House. But when they were asked to offer a word to describe her, their answers reflected a sharply negative view of the former secretary of state, senator and first lady: “Political.” “Politician.” “Schemer.” “Tactical.” “Manipulative.” Only one offered a positive description: “Strong.”

Those in the group questioned Clinton’s honesty and said they do not trust her. They also see her as vulnerable on issues including Benghazi and health care, citing her role in shaping her husband’s failed effort to reform the health-care system when he was president.

“She’s tenacious, but she’s manipulative,” said Lisa Schneider, 41, who works at the governor’s residence in Des Moines as a communications and events coordinator. “I don’t think she would do right by the country. She has her own agenda, and she’s going to do whatever she wants to get there.”

Christina Taylor, 43, a physician, said: “I think there’s a trust issue with her. I think it’s a truthfulness or candor issue. We all say she’s very politically astute, politically savvy, she’s tactical. I think people have an undertow of wondering, not only with Benghazi but even in her previous past — everything is to get the win, and so can you trust that she is being honest? I think people will continually question, ‘Is she telling me the truth?’ And you won’t know.”

“I think she would be polarizing, as polarizing as Obama has been,” added Charles Schneider, a state senator and Lisa Schneider’s husband.

But Taylor acknowledged the potency of a Clinton candidacy. “I think women want a strong woman,” she said. “They’re willing to be a Hillary supporter because she’s the only one they’ve got to grab onto. Which is kind of sad, but I think that’s true.”

These Republicans applauded House Republicans for their decision to launch another investigation of what happened in Benghazi, Libya, in September 2012 and said the issue will not recede if Clinton is a candidate.

“She was in charge of the State Department, and I think it’s not necessarily politics. I think the American people deserve to know the truth,” said Chad Airhart, 37, the Dallas County recorder.

Among the Democrats, Clinton engendered respect and admiration, but not the kind of excitement that surrounded Obama in his first campaign. When they were asked to name the most exciting person in their party, the activists mentioned nine people, but no one said Clinton. “I’m borderline enthusiastic already,” Porterfield said. “But do I think she’s exciting? No, not really.”

There was little appetite for a Biden campaign in 2016, though he is well liked in the state. On the question of whether a primary contest would be good for Clinton, there was division.

Todd said he hopes that the Democrats can avoid a serious nomination contest in order to be better prepared for what he said will be “nuclear war” in the general election. “You need a powerhouse like a Clinton to be able to stand up to these forces, the Koch brothers, the way politics has changed from 2008.”

But Crawley said that even if Clinton faces no serious competition for the nomination, “she needs to consider herself the underdog. . . . If she comes in prom queen, this is a cakewalk to the presidency, the thing I’m worried about . . . is we’ve got a candidate over here who’s not being tested in some way. I think that can work against her in a general election.”

Dan Balz is Chief Correspondent at The Washington Post. He has served as the paper’s National Editor, Political Editor, White House correspondent and Southwest correspondent.
Philip Rucker is a national political correspondent for The Washington Post, where he has reported since 2005.
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