There will be consequences for seniors and the nation’s health care industry no matter which way the debate is decided, because both sides agree Medicare spending must be controlled.
Obama relies heavily on cutting payments, the amount hospitals might get for a heart bypass or how much a radiologist is reimbursed for reading an MRI.
Romney would give future retirees a fixed amount of money to pick their health insurance from competing private plans or a government program, thereby limiting taxpayers’ financial exposure.
Some questions and answers about both approaches, and their pros and cons:
Q: Obama cuts Medicare by $716 billion, so how much does Romney cut?
A: There’s no precise dollar-for-dollar comparison.
Obama’s cuts to hospitals, drug companies and other providers are phasing in now as part of his health care law.
Romney has largely embraced his running mate Paul Ryan’s Medicare overhaul plan. If implemented, Romney-Ryan wouldn’t go into full swing until 2023, and key details have not been spelled out.
Nonetheless, the Congressional Budget Office did some long-range calculations on the Wisconsin congressman’s latest plan.
The nonpartisan analysis found that Medicare spending would rise under both current policies that reflect Obama’s approach and under Ryan’s plan. But Ryan’s way would grow Medicare far less.
In 2040, Medicare spending for a 67-year-old would average $14,300 under current policies, which include Obama’s health care law, and $9,500 under the Republican plan. (It’s about $6,000 now.)
The differences would grow noticeably bigger with time. In 2050, Medicare spending for a similar retiree would be $19,100 under current policies, and $11,100 under Ryan’s plan.
That amounts to a “substantial cut in spending” compared with other policy scenarios, the budget office said.
Q: So, Ryan’s plan — the one Romney agrees with — would cut Medicare more?
A: That’s what Democrats claim. They’re calling the plan a massive cost shift to retirees. (Under Romney’s plan, those now 55 and older could stay in traditional Medicare, while those 54 and younger would go into the new program.)
Republicans say their plan is not about shifting costs.
They point out that other major industrialized countries are getting the same or better quality medical care for less money. Because Ryan’s fixed insurance payment to retirees would limit the amount of taxpayer financing going into Medicare, it would finally force everyone, from the medical center CEO to the individual retiree, to be more cost-conscious about health care decisions.
Backers of the Romney-Ryan approach say its competitive design would help bring down costs for everyone. Romney says his goal is to preserve Medicare.
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