As he has for weeks now, Paul drew strong crowds on Thursday at a trio of town hall meetings in the western part of the state.
“We are feeling pretty good about the way things are going,” he said at a midday rally in the little town of Perry, where he delivered his small-government message to a crowd of about 100. “The momentum seems to be building and we are very pleased.”
Among the Republican candidates, only Mitt Romney seems comfortable with the strength Paul is showing. That’s largely because the former Massachusetts governor could rebound from a loss in Iowa with a victory in New Hampshire.
The others cannot count on that. Until they show that they can win more votes than Paul, they will have to contend with him as well as Romney. In that sense, Paul is an obstacle to those who hope to enter into a one-on-one post-Iowa matchup against the former Massachusetts governor. Also, if Paul wins or finishes second to Romney, whoever came next would have to compete with him for much-needed attention.
So the others are going after him. Former senator Rick Santorum (Pa.), rising in polls in Iowa at just the right moment, said Paul, a congressman from Texas, has no track record of accomplishment on Capitol Hill. He said that Paul may talk big but that he can’t deliver on anything.
Rep. Michele Bachmann (Minn.), embarrassed by the defection of her state chairman to Paul’s campaign Wednesday, has been hammering the congressman for weeks. She told reporters Thursday that he is dangerous on Iran, weak on same-sex marriage and plain wrong on drugs.
Romney has generally refrained from criticizing Paul, but even he said this week that his rival is incorrect on Iran. But he probably won’t go much further in trying to knock down the congressman. He’d like nothing better than a final contest between him and Paul, rather than, say, former House speaker Newt Gingrich (Ga.) or one of the others.
That’s why the “super PAC” supporting Romney is focused here on Gingrich, with a new ad out Thursday. This strategy is reminiscent of what happened in 1996, when conservative commentator Pat Buchanan and his “peasants with pitchforks” were charging toward victory in the New Hampshire primary over front-runner Bob Dole.
Dole’s team ignored Buchanan, knowing he was not a long-term threat, and used its TV ads in the final days before voting to attack a rising Lamar Alexander (then a former governor and now a senator from Tennessee). Buchanan won and went nowhere. Alexander finished third and was no longer a concern.
Romney and his allies are playing the same game now. The others can’t afford to. Paul is someone they have to deal with. But they are confronting a rival who is nothing if not unusual and whose supporters represent a coalition unlike anything anyone else can attract.
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