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Taking apart GOP primary turnout

People will be more likely to vote on Super Tuesday if they think their vote will narrow the field and if they are passionate about a candidate. According to a Washington Post analysis of voter turnout in contests held so far, voters have flocked to the polls when it seemed someone could be eliminated. Lower voter turnout suggests a candidate’s supporters may be overconfident or less enthusiastic. Here’s how turnout in 2012 compares with 2008:

Taking apart GOP primary voter turnout
Sources: Analysis of data from Associated Press and state election authorities. By Ted Mellnik and Patterson Clark/The Washington Post. Published on March 3, 2012, 10:58 p.m.
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