Taking apart GOP primary turnout
People will be more likely to vote on Super Tuesday if they think their vote will narrow the field and if they are passionate about a candidate. According to a Washington Post analysis of voter turnout in contests held so far, voters have flocked to the polls when it seemed someone could be eliminated. Lower voter turnout suggests a candidate’s supporters may be overconfident or less enthusiastic. Here’s how turnout in 2012 compares with 2008:
Sources: Analysis of data from Associated Press and state election authorities. By Ted Mellnik and Patterson Clark/The Washington Post.