Akin’s opponent, Democratic Sen. Claire McCaskill, is waiting, too — hoping that Akin remains in the race but knowing that even if he does, reelection to the Senate is far from secure in a state that has turned sharply against President Obama.
In the balance could lie the Senate.
Republicans need four new seats to take control of the chamber. That appeared to be within closer reach for the GOP earlier this year, before Akin’s comment — for which he has apologized — and before Sen. Olympia Snowe (R-Maine) announced her retirement, putting her seat in play.
To win control now, Republicans must see a series of neck-and-neck races turn their way — a surprisingly thin margin of error in a year when nearly two dozen Democratic senators are up for reelection.
“The easiest path to a Republican majority went through Missouri. Without it, it’s steeper and a little more circuitous,” said Jennifer Duffy, an analyst for the nonpartisan Cook Political Report. “It can be done — but they need all the breaks.”
Stuart Rothenberg of the Rothenberg Political Report agreed. The Senate is “still up for grabs,” he said. But he added: “It’s looking harder for Republicans.”
Akin’s rape comments on Aug. 19 breathed new life into McCaskill’s struggling campaign. Now her challenge is to convince Missouri voters that her opponent is too radical not only on women’s issues but also across a range of topics.
And so last week, while speaker after speaker at the Democratic National Convention — which McCaskill subtly skipped — alluded to Akin’s stand on abortion, McCaskill embarked on a tour of Missouri college campuses.
“Congressman Akin is extreme and out of the mainstream,” McCaskill told students at Northwest Missouri State University. Akin, she said, “doesn’t understand what his policy positions will do to this state and to the country that we all love.”
But she was not talking about his “legitimate rape” remark, which would have required her to dwell on the touchy issue of abortion. Instead, she was referring to Akin’s contention, in an April debate during the Republican Senate primary, that federally backed student loans represent a “Stage 3 cancer of socialism.”
McCaskill called his position a “head scratcher” in her appearances last week, part of her effort to extend Akin’s controversial remarks to the other corners of their hotly contested Senate race.
“This race will be hard-fought and close,” McCaskill said in an interview. “Anybody who doesn’t think it’s going to be hard-fought and close hasn’t spent much time on the ground in Missouri.”