Thomas Boswell
Thomas Boswell
Columnist

For Washington Nationals fans,visit from Atlanta Braves brings a pennant race in person

John McDonnell/THE WASHINGTON POST - Jayson Werth, left, puts on the brakes after rounding first base after singling in the third inning. Mets first baseman Ike Davis heads back to the bag.

This week’s pitching matchups are anything but accidental. The Nats open with their other two aces, MLB ERA leader Jordan Zimmermann and Stephen Strasburg, the majors’ leader in strikeouts per inning. The Braves counter with perennial ace Tim Hudson, whose slider has, in previous years, made the Nats’ right-handed hitters look ridiculous. He’s followed by trade-deadline addition Paul Malholm, a speed-changing lefty having his best season and coming off one run in his last 16 innings.

For the finale, Johnson has flipped Edwin Jackson and Ross Detwiler in his rotation “to separate” his southpaws (Gonzalez and Detwiler). Oh, and getting Detwiler against the Braves, who are vulnerable to lefties, probably had nothing to do with it.

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Detwiler may also be the Nats’ biggest X-factor for the postseason. Since the All-Star Game, he’s gone to almost 90 percent two-seam or four-seam fastballs. In those games, he’s raised his fastball velocity, the true “easy gas” of a 6-foot-5 crossfire lefty, into the top 15 in baseball with a 2.91 ERA. If he can thrive as a pure power pitcher with an exceptional sinker, that style tends to play even better against tight hitters in October. Or will the style tweak flop? The start against Atlanta may be a playoff-preview test.

“We’ve been telling Det that 95 [mph] is not easy to hit. It’s the same thing Davey tells [Strasburg]. As a hitter, I know that nothing bothers you more than a guy who attacks you, and keeps on attacking, with a good moving fastball,” Zimmerman said. “It makes hitters defensive. Aramis Ramirez got to third base and said to me, ‘Do any of your guys throw less than 95?’ ” Actually, the whole rotation tops at 96 to 99 mph.

Pennant race dynamics take strange forms. The Nats may have more opportunity — and necessity — in this week’s Atlanta series than they suspect. The Braves are about to begin what may be the toughest 10-day trip of their season, including seven on the West Coast, with their visit here. But after that, they play the patsies from pennant-race heaven.

The Nats may need a significant lead by Aug. 31 because a strong Braves team has one of the easiest late-season schedules you’ll ever see. After that date, they play 16 straight games against teams that are well under .500, then host the Nats for three in Atlanta, followed by 12 more in a row with losers (before closing the season with three at Pittsburgh). That 31-game run against bad teams, plus one last shot at the Nats, almost insures that the Braves aren’t going away.

“It’s not always so easy to play the teams that are out of it. I’ve been there,” Johnson said. “They have absolutely no pressure and love to spoil it.”

Washington also has an easy schedule, on paper, and 24 more home games. But the Nats’ foes are not as lame as those the Braves play — if, a huge “if,” they survive their 10-day trip that begins on South Capitol Street.

If the Nats want somebody to spoil the Braves’ fun, if they want to start Atlanta on its last long tough West Coast trip on a negative note, they’d be wise to do it themselves.

For previous columns by Thomas Boswell, visit washingtonpost.com/boswell.

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