Earlier in the day, Berlusconi’s dear friend and most formidable ally, Northern League chief Umberto Bossi, openly called for the prime minister to go. That was quickly followed by a highly anticipated parliamentary showdown in which Berlusconi won a routine budget vote, but only after the opposition abstained.
The result showed that political defections among his supporters had left him roughly eight votes short of a majority in Parliament, making him vulnerable to a no-confidence vote.
Berlusconi is a consummate political survivor who has weathered more than 50 such votes over the years and should never be underestimated. Chances remained that his resignation offer amounted to a high-stakes political gambit to fend off a no-confidence vote from the opposition that could have brought down his government as early as Wednesday. By late Tuesday evening, however, Bossi and other Berlusconi backers were already promoting Angelino Alfano, the relatively young chief of Berlusconi’s People of Freedom Party, as his possible successor — a choice that would still give the prime minister ample behind-the-scenes political clout.
Berlusconi ruthlessly built his career — and became Italy’s richest man — while at the same time winning over Italians by presenting himself as an affable attention-seeker. His tabloid foibles — including allegations of orgies at his home, which led his ex-wife to describe him as “sick” — dealt blows to his popularity. As Italy became swept up in the debt crisis, his approval ratings were bottoming out in the low 30s.
“He has lost a lot of his electorate because they fear their savings will be wiped out in these conditions,” said Arianna Montanari, a professor of political sociology at La Sapienza University of Rome.
Observers here said his pledge to leave was hastened by a sense that Berlusconi was personally costing Italy its international credibility. They pointed to the smirks last month by German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Nicolas Sarkozy when asked about their faith in Berlusconi. At a summit of the Group of 20 leading economies last week, Berlusconi was effectively forced to accept economic oversight by the International Monetary Fund. An economic monitoring team from the European Commission is due to arrive in Rome on Wednesday.
The biggest loser in Berlusconi’s departure would be the prime minister himself. He has three trials pending in Milan, including one on charges of paying for sex with a minor and abusing power in the case of Moroccan nightclub dancer Karima El Mahroug, nicknamed Ruby Heart Stealer. He is also facing tax fraud and corruption charges.
By leaving office, Berlusconi will be somewhat less equipped to dodge those trials. Though unsuccessful in his attempt to pass a law that would have given him blanket protection from prosecution, as premier he has been able to delay court appearances when he can prove to the court that he has a “legitimate impediment” imposed by his job.
“You know that Mel Brooks movie, ‘Blazing Saddles’?” said Beppe Severgnini, author of a book on the prime minister. “Well, under Berlusconi, Italy was the spaghetti-western version. A lot of Italians, a lot of people everywhere, will be relieved when it’s over.”
Special correspondent Sarah Delaney contributed to this report.