With 99 percent of the votes counted, results showed the combined ticket of Likud and the ultranationalist Yisrael Beiteinu faction losing a quarter of its seats in parliament, along with a surprising surge for a new centrist party, Yesh Atid, which looks set to become a key element of a future coalition.
The result meant that Netanyahu, whose faction remained the largest in parliament, would almost certainly have to join forces with Yesh Atid, now second in size. The centrist party’s demands include resuming negotiations with the Palestinians, and an alliance could result in a government less tilted to the right than Netanyahu’s outgoing administration.
An Israeli government with a large centrist component could improve Netanyahu’s tense ties with the Obama administration and ease Israel’s international isolation, which has been deepened by the impasse in peace talks and by Netanyahu’s recent announcements of stepped-up settlement building in the West Bank.
In a speech to supporters, Netanyahu said he had begun contacts “to form the broadest government possible,” which would address a range of issues, including Iran’s nuclear program, peace efforts, and domestic reforms demanded by Yesh Atid and other centrist parties.
Netanyahu, who had made an urgent get-out-the-vote appeal to his supporters on Facebook two hours before polls closed, did not acknowledge that his party had a poorer showing than expected. He said the result provided “an opportunity to make changes” that voters wanted.
Explaining Netanyahu’s poorer showing, analysts said that although most Israelis considered him the candidate most qualified to serve as prime minister, he was not personally popular, and his presumed victory made voters feel free to shift their allegiance to more-appealing candidates and their specific agendas.
Along with the centrist surge, a hard-right pro-settlement party, Jewish Home, substantially increased its strength, making it another potential partner in Netanyahu’s coalition, though with less influence than polls had previously indicated.
Netanyahu’s combined ticket won 31 parliamentary seats, a sharp decline from the 42 seats held by the two parties in the outgoing 120-member legislature.
Although the joint faction remains the largest in parliament, its shrunken size means that Netanyahu will be more dependent on smaller coalition partners to cobble together a governing majority. Coalition talks are likely to take weeks, with hard bargaining expected before a new government can be sworn in.