Transcript
White House Cabinet Changes
Friday, December 3, 2004; 2:00 PM
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Will the last one out turn out the lights?
At this very moment Tommy Thompson is announcign his resignation from HHS. Who else is leaving? Is anybody staying?
Let's begin the rank, idle speculation.
Rumsfeld is another story. Many people have expected -- even craved -- his resignation, but this seems only to have strengthened his desire to stay. Rice going to State suggests she was convinced there was no opening at the Pentagon.
If he's half as good at fighting terrorists as he was at fighting John Kerry, I feel very safe. I watched him do an intro speech for Cheney in New Jersey during the campaign, and he made Cheney sound as amiable as Al Roker.
Your question is a good one. Can he knock heads in the bureaucracy, something DHS probably needs? Or will he merely end up in bureacratic and legislative feuds? Impossible to know just yet. But as a reporter, I favor strong, colorful personalities in high office, and I'm sure Kerik will not disappoint.
You may be in luck. It's traditional for a few top officials to enter and depart with their cabinet secretary. That's certainly going to happen at State. Thompson brought some Wisconsin hands and other loyalists with him, so those will likely be gone. On the other hand, the White House has had more say than usual in sub-cabinet appointments, so these people tend to be loyal to the president more than to the cabinet secretaries.
I think we're now into thorough housecleaning mode. The previous mark for 2nd-term turnover, I'm told, was Nixon in 1972.
But there was surprisingly little cabinet-level turnover during Bush's first term-- so while it may seem like a rush to the door now, it is not an extraordinary number overall.
I think this argument could only be made in the case of Danforth. After just five months on the job, it's hard to make the case that this was always his plan to leave at this time.
It was a warm up for the Europe trip this winter, to be sure. My sense at the end of it was that it was less a fence-mending expedition than a trip designed for domestic American consumption. The president made a big display of his desire for cooperation and multilateralism, but he also made it clear -- by sticking to his guns on trade, missile defense, and Iraq -- that the policies that irritated the Canadians and the Europeans in the first place were not going to change.
Dr. Rice was at the president's side when, in Slovenia, Bush looked into Putin's soul and liked what he saw. Since then, Bush, with Rice in the NSC, has shied from direct criticism of Putin. Even with Rice's promotion, it's hard to see this changing short of a Russian takeover of Ukraine.
Bush is determined to defy history. Overhauling the tax code and Social Security, cutting the deficit in half and spreading peace through the middle east. For a president who built a reputation by exceeding low expectations, it would appear he has set the bar impossibly high.
Not long enough. And thanks.
They're not celebrating in public of course, but this plays very well for them. It tarnishes the U.N. in general and Kofi Annan in particular, and it embarrasses the French. Hard to beat that.

