"I nominate 'DTV tuners integrated into TV sets,' or maybe just 'the DTV transition.' I work in this area so I'm biased, but I think it's a big trend and a tipping point for DTV in 2004." -- John Godfrey, Pioneer North America Inc., Bethesda, Md.
"Nomination 1: You didn't mention digital photography. High resolution (Canon 1Ds Mark II with 16.7 megapixels), full frame SLRs, faster frame rates, consumer cameras smaller with higher resolution and Pictbridge allowing anyone to produce great photos with little effort. But I think the biggest is Adobe coming out with a universal RAW file format -- DNG -- which should allow photographers to have confidence that their photos will be accessible into the distant future, rather than relying on individual camera manufacturer's proprietary file formats that seem to become obsolete overnight." -- Eric Welch, photo editor, Gemological Institute of America in Carlsbad, Calif.
Big Blue Opens the Patent Vault (washingtonpost.com, Jan 11, 2005)
Microsoft Spies a Whole New Market (washingtonpost.com, Jan 7, 2005)
Tech Giants Double Down in Vegas (washingtonpost.com, Jan 6, 2005)
Vonage Phones in Hot WiFi Plans (washingtonpost.com, Jan 5, 2005)
CES 2005: Form, Function and Stylin' (washingtonpost.com, Jan 4, 2005)
More Past Issues
One reader noted a past-year trend that didn't manage to fulfill all the hype (at least not yet):
"Remember how in December of 2003, Bush signed a $3.7 billion bill for nanotechnology research? Since then, Nanosys shelved its proposed $17 a share IPO after investors realized the company had no revenue and no products. [Nanotech] news is devoid of the hype around all the benefits (and dangers) of the technology. Nanotech turned out to not even have the legs that AI did when it comes to sustained PR. The benefits are still out there, but everyone realized that it's not a news story when the denouement is still two decades away." -- Dan Enthoven, Mountain View, Calif.
And finally, a tech CEO wrote in to make a prediction for 2005:
"I think one of the lurking and unheralded trends of 2005 will be that we'll finally see a viable 'mouse' model for the TV set. Up to now, the remotes have all been basically mini-keyboards, and this has really limited the whole paradigm for the TV to be based on up/down/left/right/select user paradigms. Can you imagine trying to surf the Web without a mouse? The WWW would not have been possible without the mouse. So what's been missing, as convergence hits the living room, is the same model for the TV. In 2004 we saw the first real attempts are free-space navigation that will really live large in 2005. I'd expect to see major improvements in this space in 2005, truly opening up all these 42-inch plasmas into Amazon TV interfaces, enabled by a much more simple free space mouse paradigm. Don't underestimate how huge an impact this can be, given the much larger penetration of TVs over computers. It could dramatically jump usage of e-commerce." -- Danny Briere, CEO of Conn.-based TeleChoice Inc.
Thanks to everyone who wrote in. Here's to trend watching in 2005.
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