washingtonpost.com  > Sports > Leagues and Sports > MLB > Preview

1. FLORIDA MARLINS

Wednesday, March 30, 2005; Page H13

It is a bit of heresy to suggest that anybody but Atlanta can win this division, for it hasn't happened since George Bush was president -- George H.W. Bush. But then, count the number of World Series titles during this span: Florida 2, Atlanta 1. And this might be the Marlins' best team during that span.

No team in either league poses the threat of speed that the Marlins have at the top of the lineup. In their two seasons together, Juan Pierre and Luis Castillo have combined to score 390 runs and steal 152 bases. "Against this lineup," Washington right-hander Zach Day said, "you have to keep the little guys off base."


Juan Pierre is expected to keep things running smoothly at the top of Florida's lineup. The Marlins' center fielder has stolen 110 bases and has scored 200 runs over the last two seasons. (Carlos Barria -- Reuters)

_____ Breakdown _____
 baseball
Lineup
CF Juan Pierre
2B Luis Castillo
RF Miguel Cabrera
1B Carlos Delgado
3B Mike Lowell
LF Jeff Conine
C Paul LoDuca
SS Alex Gonzalez
Rotation
RHP Josh Beckett
RHP A.J. Burnett
LHP Dontrelle Willis
LHP Al Leiter
RHP Ismael Valdez
Closer
RHP Guillermo Mota

Best move: Delgado has hit more than 30 homers for eight straight seasons, and provides a perfect left-handed bat to place between righties Cabrera and Lowell.
Biggest loss: Closer Armando Benitez finally caputred his enormous potential with 49 saves and a 1.29 ERA, but signed with San Francisco.
Top rival: Atlanta Braves.

___ Team Capsules ___
PREDICTED ORDER OF FINISH
NL East
NL Central
NL West
1. Cubs
4. Mets
4. Reds
   
 
AL East
AL Central
AL West
 


Miguel Cabrera is not yet 22, but he is one of the game's budding stars. Mike Lowell has driven in at least 85 runs for five straight seasons. And Carlos Delgado is the first veteran slugger the Marlins have had since 1997, when Gary Sheffield helped Florida to the first of its World Series titles.

Even with that kind of offensive firepower, the Marlins' strength could, potentially, lie in its rotation -- even after losing right-hander Carl Pavano, who went 18-8 last season before signing with the New York Yankees. A.J. Burnett made only 19 starts in 2004, Josh Beckett only 26, and they combined to win just 16 games. But when healthy, they're an excellent one-two presence, and Al Leiter will add a veteran influence. Dontrelle Willis had a bit of a sophomore slump -- going 10-11 with a 4.02 ERA -- and if he can capture his form of 2003, the rotation might be the best of any in the National League.

The weight, then, falls on Guillermo Mota, who has all of five saves in his major league career. In 2003 with the Los Angeles Dodgers, he was a stud setup man for Eric Gagne, striking out 99 in 105 innings. Antonio Alfonseca provides a veteran in that role now. But how Mota handles the pressure of being the closer on a team that expects to contend will go a long way toward determining whether the Marlins will break up the Braves' run.


© 2005 The Washington Post Company