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Behind the Pack, Lichtman Feels the Heat

The campaign's youth has led to some coups. Lichtman's campaign has been mentioned in Business Week and on the Web sites of Time Magazine and CNN for its use of myspace.com and facebook.com -- the brainchild of 18-year-old volunteer coordinator Erin Lauer. It's the kind of national publicity a struggling campaign could never afford.

There are five paid staffers on the campaign and, on any given summer day, about 12 full-time volunteers. About half the campaign's $500,000 budget has come from a mortgage Lichtman took out on his Bethesda home.


Pressing on: Going door-to-door  --  even in scorching weather  --  is a key part of Democrat Allan Lichtman's grass-roots campaign.
Pressing on: Going door-to-door -- even in scorching weather -- is a key part of Democrat Allan Lichtman's grass-roots campaign. (Photos By Melina Mara -- The Washington Post)

On this day, the heat was unbearable. News reports would call it the fiercest summer heat to hit the Washington area in four years. Still, Lichtman and his staff decided to stick with their plan to canvass a Bethesda neighborhood.

As Lichtman -- still in pinstriped pants, shirt and tie -- knocked on doors, most residents seemed surprised to find a real-life candidate on their doorstep. He alternated between a couple of openers, highlighting his work as an expert witness in civil rights and voting rights cases and billing himself as the only lifetime teacher in the U.S. Senate if elected.

One resident, Bruce Babashan, 43, grilled him on corporate PAC money (Lichtman said he takes none), the Democratic Party (needs to take stronger, better defined stands on principles) and why he decided to run (to improve the country for his 14-year-old son).

As Lichtman walked to the next house, Babashan, a Republican, said Lichtman had won his respect and possibly his vote should he survive the primary. "I wish him well, but these days, it's about fundraising and corporate interests," he said. "It's not necessarily about whether he's a good candidate. You're not going to see a 'Mr. Smith' go to Washington."

Lichtman seemed to win over most residents he encountered. The problem, however, is one of sheer numbers: being able to make that connection with enough voters by September's primary. It was a point one man later brought up at the Grosvenor-Strathmore Metro station, where Lichtman was greeting riders during the afternoon rush.

"I like you, but you know what the problem is," said David Rothwell, 59, commenting that Lichtman had little chance against Cardin and Mfume.

Later, as he walked to the parking lot, Rothwell explained his reasoning: "His chances are zero to slim because he's outside the party structure. Mfume and Cardin would have to self-destruct for him to win, and at this point, I'm voting for the one who has the best chance against [Republican Lt. Gov. Michael S.] Steele."

"That's the way to pick a sure-fire loser, not a winner," Lichtman responded. "Instead of voting for someone who will represent their values, they vote for someone they think will win. That's the way Democrats have been losing elections."

He repeated that sentiment that evening at a Baltimore forum for Senate candidates. After 12 grueling and sweaty hours in the field, Lichtman remained vigorous in front of the small crowd at the Baltimore Convention Center.

For weeks at such forums, he has tried to distinguish himself by attacking Cardin (who did not attend because of a congressional vote, his staff said) and taking strong, sometimes risky stands on issues. At the forum, Lichtman pledged to vote against any funding to continue the war in Iraq: "We can talk from now until the end of time about a timetable. But there's only one way to stop this war, and that is to stop funding the war."

On education, he proposed a two-year freeze on tuition rates at state universities and a program guaranteeing free tuition at community colleges for at least two years.

Many in the audience applauded but voiced doubts afterwards about whether he can overtake Cardin and Mfume.

And the forecast from the man who has spent much of his academic career developing a model of 13 keys to predict the outcome of presidential elections? There are too many variables and too little data for a surefire prediction.

"But if you want, I'll make a seat-of-the-pants guess," Lichtman added with a grin. "Lichtman reaches out to voters, appeals to the young and wins in an upset!"


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