For Now, a Cingular Sensation
Saturday, January 13, 2007
The sleek new iPhone being developed by Apple is getting early rave reviews for its innovation, elegance and all-around coolness. Analysts say it potentially could become a breakthrough product that thrusts pricey "smart phones" -- now primarily a tool of business people -- deep into the American mainstream, blurring the lines between handheld devices designed mainly for work and not entertainment.
But the iPhone has considerable hurdles to clear before claiming a spot in the technology pantheon alongside its cousins -- the Mac computer and the iPod -- according to analysts, consumers and corporate rivals. Chief among them are its relatively high cost, unproven durability, complications involving a trademark lawsuit and long-term marriage to a single wireless provider with a mixed record of service.
When the iPhone hits the market in June, millions of consumers will have to weigh the $500 to $600 price tag and a carrier switch against a device that gives them more features than they might want: mobile phone, camera, music player, wireless e-mail, Web browser and video player.
"It does look very elegant," said Neil Strother, a mobile device analyst for the NPD Group. "But real people have real budgets."
Because Apple has worked out a "multiyear" exclusive agreement with Cingular Wireless -- which will become AT&T Wireless later this year -- customers of Verizon Wireless, Sprint Nextel and other wireless providers would have to switch and possibly pay early termination fees of $150 or more to get out of their current contracts.
"From a consumer standpoint, this is vile," Sascha Segan, PC Magazine's lead analyst for mobile phones, said of the exclusive arrangement. Americans seeking cellphone service, he said, "choose coverage, call quality and pricing, and then they choose their device. I don't believe more than a handful of, say, Verizon customers in New York City are going to jump over to Cingular."
Other analysts say the iPhone's appeal may be powerful enough to break loyalties, and contracts, with Cingular's rivals. "My Motorola Q is on Verizon," said Tim Bajarin, an expert on consumer products for California-based Creative Strategies. "But I tell you, I want that Apple phone. It probably means I'm going to end up switching carriers."
Verizon Wireless, in particular, hopes its reputation for solid service will keep customers from straying. Consumer Reports magazine recently found that Americans consistently rated Verizon at or near the top in customer-satisfaction surveys. In the Washington area, consumers gave Verizon their highest marks, followed by Sprint, T-Mobile and Cingular. The report disputed Cingular's claim of having the "fewest dropped calls."
"The iPhone is a cool innovation," said Verizon Wireless spokesman John H. Johnson. "But it's only as good as the network it's on. It will be six months before anyone knows how those two pieces will work together."
Some analysts suggested the exclusive deal with Cingular was the result of undisclosed agreements regarding profit distributions, shared advertising or other matters.
But Glenn Lurie, Cingular's president of national distribution, said the two sides reached compromises.
"Apple is used to getting what it wants, and we're used to getting what we want, so we both had to bend a little bit," he said, adding that Cingular took a risk by signing the agreement before seeing the device.