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Turkish Elections

Compiled by Lensay Abadula
washingtonpost.com Staff Writer
Tuesday, July 17, 2007 4:52 PM

UPDATE: The ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) won about 46.3 percent of the vote July 22 in an election that had a voter turnout of about 80 percent. AKP earned a substantial majority of parliament receiving about 340 out of 550 seats. The party said July 23 that it would seek a compromise on electing Turkey's next president. Post Coverage: In Turkish Vote, Ruling Party Wins by Wide Margin

President: Ahmet Necdet Sezer

Prime Minister: Recep Tayyip Erdogan

Population: 74 million

More Background: Turkey Country Guide

Turkey's Government

Turkey is a parliamentary democracy. The president is elected to a seven-year term by a unicameral national assembly. The president has legislative veto power and is the chief of the armed forces. The prime minister is chosen by the president.

July 22 Elections

National elections were originally scheduled for Nov. 4, 2007, but faced with a presidential election crisis, Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan called early elections for July 22.

Electoral Controversy

In May, parliament was set to replace secular President Ahmet Necdet Sezer with foreign minister Abdullah Gul, the nominee of the ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP). Opposition members boycotted that first-round vote, blocking Gul's nomination. Gul later withdrew his name as presidential candidate, but he is expected to stand for office again.

Gul's nomination sparked protest from the military and elite, who fear the Islamist-rooted AKP party would dismantle Turkey's secular government. Meanwhile, the AKP-led parliament approved a constitutional amendment calling for direct popular elections. President Sezer and the opposition Republican People's Party appealed to the Supreme Court to repeal the amendment, but the court denied the petition in a July 5 ruling. A referendum on the popular election amendment is scheduled for Oct. 21

Major Parties

The ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) is led by Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan. The center-right political group, which gained its majority during the 2002 elections, is heading into July elections with 351 of the 550 seats in parliament.

The Republican People's Party (CHP), Turkey's main secular opposition party, draws its support from the elite. On May 17, CHP and another secular opposition party, Democratic Left Party (DSP), formed an electoral alliance to challenge the dominant AKP.

AKP is expected to win with a substantial majority; a poll conducted in early June by a private research group predicted the party would win 41.9 percent of the vote, according to the Turkish Daily News. The opposition alliance of the CHP and DSP was predicted to gain 15 percent and another opposition party, the Nationalist Movement Party (MHP), was predicted to earn 12 percent of the vote. AKP draws support from Turkey's rural population but is growing a stronger base in Turkey's expanding middle class, while secular opposition comes mainly from Turkey's elite.

Key Players

Recep Tayyip Erdogan, prime minister and AKP party leader, is Turkey's most popular politician. But debate about his ties to the more radical Islamist Welfare Party, which was banned in Turkey in 1998, precluded him from running for president. Many see Erdogan, who served time in jail for reading an Islamist poem at a political rally, as a religious conservative.

Abdullah Gul is seen as the compromise presidential candidate. As foreign minister, Gul has avoided pushing a religious platform and has led Turkey's talks with the European Union. He is seen as less confrontational than Erdogan, but many still fear Gul, whose wife Hayrunisa wears the religious head scarf, will push hard-line religious agendas. Turkey has never had a first lady who wears the head scarf; women in Turkey are forbidden from covering their hair in government offices and public places and some think Gul would work to ease such restrictions.

The military, which has vowed to preserve Turkey's secular system, is a huge player in the current political elections. Armed forces have removed four elected governments in Turkey since 1960, and some question whether this could happen again. Military intervention could hurt Turkey's chances of entering the European Union.

Issues at Stake

Secular-Islamist Tensions -- Fears over the rise of an Islamic government have sparked months of mass protests and political unrest, as the country's secular identity, established in 1923 by Mustafa Kemal Ataturk, is called into question. Although the AKP has said it would not interfere with the current system, many fear that the party is hiding its true intentions of establishing an Islamist state.

The European Union -- Another dominating issue remains Turkey's fight for entrance in the European Union. Many Turks see the possibility of an Islamist government as a threat to EU membership, but Gul denies this claim. "Look at what we have done in government for 4 1/2 years," he said in an interview with Newsweek's Fareed Zakaria. "We have worked harder than any party in Turkey's history to make this country a member of the European Union. We have passed hundreds of laws that have freed up the economy and strengthened human rights."

Kurdish Separatists -- Tensions have risen in past weeks as Turkey has amassed thousands of soldiers along its southern border with Iraq, where rebels of the separatist Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) have escalated attacks. The Iraq-based PKK, considered a terrorist organization by the United States and European Union, has fought Turkey for an independent Kurdistan for decades. Secular opponents have criticized Prime Minister Erdogan for not launching a large-scale incursion into northern Iraq or pushing for stronger U.S. support.

"We are seeing with great grief that America remains quiet as Turkey struggles against terrorism. Because there were promises given to us, and they need to be kept. If not, we can take care of our own business," Erdogan said recently on Turkish television. But he has remained hesitant to take military action before the July 22 general elections.

Washington has disputed recent claims that Turkey has stationed 140,000 troops on the Turkey-Iraq border. The U.S. government fears an incursion could create more conflict in a comparatively peaceful region of northern Iraq. Although AKP's perceived inability to act more swiftly against the PKK could lower their showing in the upcoming elections, the party is still predicted to win with a substantial margin.

Sources: The Washington Post, Newsweek, The Associated Press, Turkish Daily News

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