The (Unaffordable) House We All Live In

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By Steven Pearlstein
Friday, July 20, 2007

Mayor Adrian Fenty began making good this week on one of his signature campaign promises, proposing to spend $117 million a year to create or preserve 10,000 units of affordable housing. To make it work, Fenty would provide city-owned land at a discount to developers who promise to set aside 30 percent of the units for households with incomes between $20,000 and $75,000. He'd also dedicate 10 cents of the commercial property tax rate for rental discounts and other subsidies.

In the past, people have looked on these kinds of initiatives in the same category as food stamps or Medicaid: social programs necessary to assist the working poor, or as anti-gentrification measures to complement other initiatives like "inclusionary zoning," by which the District requires that 8 percent of all units in new housing projects be moderately priced.

In the suburbs, the tendency is to downplay the welfare aspect by calling it "workforce housing" for firefighters and teachers who cannot afford to live in the communities they serve. Alexandria and Fairfax County finance their efforts by dedicating a penny of the property tax rate.

These initiatives are fine as far as they go. But in many ways, they are an exercise in shoveling sand against a rapidly rising tide of real estate values that threatens economic growth in the Washington region. For unless we can figure out some way to increase the supply of housing and begin moderating the cost, Washington is in real danger of pricing itself out of the market for new jobs, forcing companies and even government agencies to channel their growth somewhere else.

The fundamental challenge facing the Washington region's economy is that we can't increase the housing stock the way have for the past 60 years, by simply expanding out from the center. The commutes have simply become unacceptable. Yet those who already live here have shown time and again that they are not willing to tax themselves any further to pay for new roads or better public transit. Instead, they've simply opted not to make things any worse by using the zoning and planning process to limit further housing growth.

The rising house prices we've experienced over the past decade are a measure of how much demand has outstripped this constrained supply. And now those near-record prices are seriously beginning to affect the ability of employers to recruit the new people they need to the area.

I'm not just talking about lower-paying jobs; that need has been generally met with immigrant workers willing to drive longer and live in more cramped quarters. But these days, nearly any executive will tell you about the difficulty of recruiting highly paid executives, lawyers, programmers and other professionals. Too often, recruits are excited about the job opportunities here and like the quality of life but turn down offers because they can't afford the houses they want and won't accept the commutes to the houses they can afford.

This isn't a problem for Fairfax or Montgomery counties, or the District -- it is a regional problem. Companies draw their workers from a regional labor market, not a local one, while workers look for suitable housing anywhere in the region. What that means is that a shortage of employees or housing anywhere in the region creates a shortage everywhere.

The increasingly regional and interdependent nature of the economy has other implications.

Take transportation. If people have to travel all around the region to get to work or do business, then a bottleneck anywhere is a bottleneck everywhere.

And if the public schools in the District or Prince George's County aren't producing graduates prepared to fill the entry-level jobs in the Washington economy, that is a problem not just for those places, but also for employers in Alexandria and Silver Spring who have to fill those positions with people from outside the region.

My point is that if most of the really interesting and important problems in the Washington area are regional ones, it only stands to reason that they require regional solutions.


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