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Grab Bag
Four of these 10 teams likely will receive at-large bids to the NCAA tournament:
Maryland (18-11, 7-8 ACC) | Virginia Tech (17-12, 7-8 ACC) |
Nevada-Las Vegas (21-8, 9-6 MWC) | Penn State (20-9, 9-7 Big Ten) |
Michigan (18-12, 8-9 Big Ten) | Providence (18-11, 10-7 B. East) |
Florida (21-9, 8-7 SEC) | Cincinnati (18-12, 8-9 Big East) |
Kentucky (19-11, 8-7 SEC) | Saint Mary's (22-5, 10-4 WCC) |
Don't Need Help
The following non-BCS conferences seemingly have locks for at-large bids but few, if any, other likely candidates. That means, if anyone else wins their conference tournaments, that will mean one less available at-large spot.
ATLANTIC 10: Xavier is in regardless, and Dayton has a strong chance. Rhode Island and Temple have outside shots.
CONFERENCE USA: Unless Memphis loses, the Tigers are the only team getting in.
HORIZON: Unless Butler loses, the Bulldogs are the only team getting in.
WEST COAST: Gonzaga is in regardless, and only St. Mary's has a remote shot.
MOUNTAIN WEST: BYU and Utah are in regardless. UNLV has a decent chance; San Diego State has an outside chance.
Could Cloud Picture
The following non-BCS conferences feature teams that might have outside shots at at-large bids, so if those teams don't win their conference tournaments, the pool of at-large hopefuls will grow.
MISSOURI VALLEY: Creighton has a strong, but not watertight, case to get in.
METRO ATLANTIC: Siena has a good RPI ranking despite no great wins.
SOUTHERN: Last year's tournament darling, Davidson, likely won't get at-large berth.
WAC: Utah State has a gaudy record against an underwhelming schedule.
LOCAL OUTLOOK
American (22-7, 13-1): First in the Patriot League.
George Mason (20-9, 13-5): Like American, must win conference tournament for a bid.
George Washington (10-17, 4-11): Not even ensured Atlantic 10 tournament bid.
Georgetown (15-13, 6-11): Loss to St. John's likely killed at-large chances.
