vvvvvvvvv

Network News

X Profile
View More Activity
Monday, March 1, 2010

In his Feb. 21 op-ed column, "Climate science tantrums," George F. Will concluded, incorrectly, that the Earth isn't warming. Mr. Will referred to climate scientist Phil Jones, who said that the planet did warm from 1995 to 2009 but not "at the 95 percent significance level." But Mr. Jones also cautioned that 15 years is too short to expect statistical significance. That is why climate norms -- such as the "normal" daily temperatures that forecasters show on the local news -- are 30-year averages. The Post's readers might be interested to know, therefore, that the global warming trend from 1980 to 2009 -- a little over 1 degree Fahrenheit -- is statistically significant at the 99.9999 percent level.

Climate scientists have always stated clearly that it takes decades to detect a change in the climate, so why focus on just the last 15 years?

From its own reading of the peer-reviewed literature, the National Academy of Sciences concluded, "It is unequivocal that the climate is changing, and it is very likely that this is predominantly caused by the increasing human interference with the atmosphere. These changes will transform the environmental conditions on Earth unless counter-measures are taken."

Jay Gulledge, Arlington

The writer is senior scientist and director of the science and impacts program at the Pew Center on Global Climate Change.


© 2010 The Washington Post Company

Network News

X My Profile
View More Activity