Obama's planned appearance at O'Malley rally reflects broader strategic alliance
A Democratic incumbent who says President Obama doesn't get the credit he deserves for "saving us" with stimulus spending, or who gushes about Obama's "brilliance," "foresight" and "conviction," might brace for a Republican opponent to spike the remarks back over the net.
Not in Maryland. Almost every time Gov. Martin O'Malley (D) steps in front of a camera or crowd, the Obama accolades flow free. No challenge, no return - just silence from former governor Robert L. Ehrlich Jr. (R).
Obama's rally Thursday for O'Malley and Maryland Democrats in Prince George's County underscores how O'Malley has aligned himself with a man who wasn't always his first choice for president, and how safe that strategy has remained in a state where Obama is far more popular than he is nationally.
"The president is going there because Maryland is one place where he should be able to fire up the base and get them engaged," said Jennifer Duffy, senior analyst with the Cook Political Report. Maryland is such a blue state that Democrats don't need much, "but they do need the base to show up," Duffy said.
Maryland Democrats outnumber registered Republicans 2 to 1 , and according to a Washington Post poll last week, the state's Democratic base is closing ranks behind the governor: O'Malley leads Ehrlich among likely voters by 11 percentage points.
The poll, which was released after the president had committed to the campaign stop for O'Malley, showed a larger margin of voters favoring O'Malley than in previous polls. But without Obama on the ballot, dismal turnout remains a key concern - especially for Democrats in heavily African American pockets of the state, such as Baltimore and Prince George's County. About 94 percent of Maryland's African Americans approve of Obama, according to the Post poll.
Ehrlich, who has campaigned little in Prince George's and has tried not to antagonize pro-Obama voters, tried Wednesday to play down the significance of the president's visit.
He told reporters that he expected the Obama rally would help O'Malley raise money but not do much to affect the race.
"It's what presidents do," Ehrlich said. "It hasn't had much impact on races around the country."
Republican National Committee spokesman Parish Braden said: "Another hollow stump speech from President Obama won't create a single job for the more than 216,000 Marylanders currently out of work."
Maryland Democrats seemed wide-eyed in anticipation of the visit.
In an e-mail soliciting contributions Tuesday night, Susan Turnbull, head of the state's Democratic Party, said that if Rep. Frank M. Kratovil Jr. (D-Md.), Sen. Barbara A. Mikulski (D-Md.) and O'Malley are ruled winners early on election night, it could affect the momentum in favor of Democrats nationwide as voters continue to go the polls in later time zones.